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微小RNA 150-5p改善急性缺血性卒中后90天内死亡风险分类

MicroRNA 150-5p Improves Risk Classification for Mortality within 90 Days after Acute Ischemic Stroke.

作者信息

Scherrer Natalie, Fays Francois, Mueller Beat, Luft Andreas, Fluri Felix, Christ-Crain Mirjam, Devaux Yvan, Katan Mira

机构信息

Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Competence Center in Methodology and Statistics, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Strassen, Luxembourg.

出版信息

J Stroke. 2017 Sep;19(3):323-332. doi: 10.5853/jos.2017.00423. Epub 2017 Sep 29.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Micro ribonucleic acid-150-5p (miR-150-5p) regulates proinflammatory cytokines as well as vessel integrity. We evaluated the incremental prognostic value of logarithm (log) of miR-150-5p plasma levels after ischemic stroke.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort study, levels of miR-150-5p were measured within 72 hours of symptom onset in 329 ischemic stroke patients. The outcome measures were unfavorable functional outcome (assessed by the modified Rankin Scale score >2) and mortality within 90 days. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to estimate odds ratio (OR), respectively hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the association between log-miR-150-5p and the outcome measures. The discriminatory accuracy was assessed with the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) and the incremental prognostic value was estimated with the net reclassification index.

RESULTS

After adjusting for demographic and vascular risk factors, lower log-miR-150-5p levels were independently associated with mortality (HR 0.21 [95% CI, 0.08-0.51], =0.001) but not functional outcome (OR 1.10 [95% CI, 0.54-2.25], =0.79). Adding log-miR-150-5p improved the discriminatory accuracy of the best multivariate model to predict mortality from an AUC of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.88-0.95) to 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.96 Likelihood-ratio test-<0.001), and resulted in a net reclassification index of 37.3% (95% CI, 0.28-0.52).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ischemic stroke, log-miR-150-5p is a novel prognostic biomarker, highly associated with mortality within 90 days, improving risk classification beyond traditional risk factors.

摘要

背景与目的

微小核糖核酸 - 150 - 5p(miR - 150 - 5p)可调节促炎细胞因子以及血管完整性。我们评估了缺血性卒中后miR - 150 - 5p血浆水平的对数(log)的增量预后价值。

方法

在一项前瞻性队列研究中,对329例缺血性卒中患者在症状发作后72小时内测量miR - 150 - 5p水平。结局指标为不良功能结局(通过改良Rankin量表评分>2评估)和90天内死亡率。采用逻辑回归和Cox比例风险模型分别估计log - miR - 150 - 5p与结局指标之间关联的比值比(OR)、风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI)。通过受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)评估判别准确性,并通过净重新分类指数估计增量预后价值。

结果

在调整人口统计学和血管危险因素后,较低的log - miR - 150 - 5p水平与死亡率独立相关(HR 0.21 [95% CI,0.08 - 0.51],P = 0.001),但与功能结局无关(OR 1.10 [95% CI,0.54 - 2.25],P = 0.79)。添加log - miR - 150 - 5p可将预测死亡率的最佳多变量模型的判别准确性从AUC为0.91(95% CI,0.88 - 0.95)提高到0.92(95% CI,0.88 - 0.96;似然比检验P<0.001),并导致净重新分类指数为37.3%(95% CI,0.28 - 0.52)。

结论

在缺血性卒中患者中,log - miR - 150 - 5p是一种新型的预后生物标志物,与90天内死亡率高度相关,可改善传统危险因素以外的风险分类。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7994/5647633/12a5cdc1250c/jos-2017-00423f1.jpg

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