Sandström A I, Wall S G, Taube A
Department of Epidemiology, University of Umeå.
Br J Ind Med. 1989 Feb;46(2):82-9. doi: 10.1136/oem.46.2.82.
Cancer incidence was analysed in a retrospective cohort of 3710 male Swedish smelter workers between 1958 and 1982 using a record linkage with the Swedish Cancer Register. During this period 467 cancers were registered in the cohort. An excess incidence of total cancer of about 30% was shown relative to general and local populations mainly due to 120 respiratory cancers. Excess SMRs for all cancer and respiratory cancer were highly significant. Trends in the incidence of cancer were studied using moving five year calendar periods. A decreasing rate of lung cancer was found during 1976-80 for both mortality and incidence. Incidence figures for two more years show a continued decreasing trend. This is validated by an analysis of different employment cohorts, taking latency into account, showing that the later the date of first employment the lower the incidence of cancer, especially for lung cancer.
利用与瑞典癌症登记处的记录链接,对1958年至1982年间3710名瑞典男性冶炼工人的回顾性队列进行了癌症发病率分析。在此期间,该队列中登记了467例癌症。相对于一般人群和当地人群,总癌症发病率约有30%的超额发生率,主要是由于120例呼吸道癌症。所有癌症和呼吸道癌症的标准化发病比(SMR)过高具有高度显著性。使用移动五年日历期研究了癌症发病率的趋势。在1976 - 1980年期间,肺癌的死亡率和发病率均呈下降趋势。另外两年的发病率数据显示出持续下降的趋势。通过对不同就业队列的分析,并考虑潜伏期,验证了这一点,结果表明首次就业日期越晚,癌症发病率越低,尤其是肺癌。