Broekhuis Femke, Cushman Samuel A, Elliot Nicholas B
Mara Cheetah Project Kenya Wildlife Trust Nairobi Kenya.
Wildlife Conservation Research Unit Department of Zoology University of Oxford Recanati-Kaplan Centre Tubney UK.
Ecol Evol. 2017 Nov 5;7(24):10630-10639. doi: 10.1002/ece3.3565. eCollection 2017 Dec.
Human-carnivore conflict is a primary driver of carnivore declines worldwide and resolving these conflicts is a conservation priority. However, resources to mitigate conflicts are limited and should be focused on areas of highest priority. We conducted 820 semistructured interviews with community members living within Kenya's Maasai Mara ecosystem. A multiscale analysis was used to determine the influence of husbandry and environmental factors on livestock depredation inside livestock enclosures (bomas). Areas with a high proportion of closed habitat and protected areas had the highest risk of depredation. Depredation was most likely to occur at weak bomas and at households where there were fewer dogs. We used the results to identify potential conflict hotspots by mapping the probability of livestock depredation across the landscape. 21.4% of the landscape was classified as high risk, and within these areas, 53.4% of the households that were interviewed had weak bomas. . With limited resources available to mitigate human-carnivore conflicts, it is imperative that areas are identified where livestock is most at risk of depredation. Focusing mitigation measures on high-risk areas may reduce conflict and lead to a decrease in retaliatory killings of predators.
人兽冲突是全球食肉动物数量减少的主要驱动因素，解决这些冲突是保护工作的重点。然而，用于缓解冲突的资源有限，应集中在最优先的领域。我们对生活在肯尼亚马赛马拉生态系统内的社区成员进行了820次半结构化访谈。采用多尺度分析来确定畜牧和环境因素对牲畜围栏（畜栏）内牲畜被捕食的影响。封闭栖息地和保护区比例高的地区被捕食风险最高。捕食最有可能发生在脆弱的畜栏以及养狗较少的家庭。我们利用这些结果，通过绘制整个区域牲畜被捕食的概率图来确定潜在的冲突热点。该区域21.4%被归类为高风险区域，在这些区域内，接受访谈的家庭中有53.4%的畜栏脆弱。由于缓解人兽冲突的资源有限，必须确定牲畜被捕食风险最高的区域。将缓解措施集中在高风险区域可能会减少冲突，并导致对捕食者报复性杀戮的减少。
