The Research Centre on Public Health, University Milano-Bicocca, 20900 Monza, Italy.
Department of International Health, FHML, CAPHRI, Maastricht University, 6229 Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Nutrients. 2018 Jan 23;10(2):112. doi: 10.3390/nu10020112.
A dose-response meta-analysis was conducted in order to summarize the evidence from prospective cohort studies regarding the association between coffee intake and breast cancer risk. A systematic search was performed in electronic databases up to March 2017 to identify relevant studies; risk estimates were retrieved from the studies and linear and non-linear dose-response analysis modelled by restricted cubic splines was conducted. A stratified and subgroup analysis by menopausal and estrogen/progesterone receptor (ER/PR) status, smoking status and body mass index (BMI) were performed in order to detect potential confounders. A total of 21 prospective studies were selected either for dose-response, the highest versus lowest category of consumption or subgroup analysis. The dose-response analysis of 13 prospective studies showed no significant association between coffee consumption and breast cancer risk in the non-linear model. However, an inverse relationship has been found when the analysis was restricted to post-menopausal women. Consumption of four cups of coffee per day was associated with a 10% reduction in postmenopausal cancer risk (relative risk, RR 0.90; 95% confidence interval, CI 0.82 to 0.99). Subgroup analyses showed consistent results for all potential confounding factors examined. Findings from this meta-analysis may support the hypothesis that coffee consumption is associated with decreased risk of postmenopausal breast cancer.
为了总结前瞻性队列研究中关于咖啡摄入量与乳腺癌风险之间关联的证据,进行了一项剂量-反应荟萃分析。截至 2017 年 3 月,我们在电子数据库中进行了系统检索,以确定相关研究;从研究中检索风险估计值,并通过限制性立方样条进行线性和非线性剂量-反应分析建模。为了检测潜在的混杂因素,我们按绝经状态和雌激素/孕激素受体 (ER/PR) 状态、吸烟状况和体重指数 (BMI) 进行了分层和亚组分析。共选择了 21 项前瞻性研究进行剂量-反应、最高与最低消费类别或亚组分析。13 项前瞻性研究的剂量-反应分析表明,咖啡消费与乳腺癌风险之间无显著关联,非线性模型也如此。然而,当分析仅限于绝经后妇女时,发现了一种相反的关系。每天饮用四杯咖啡与绝经后癌症风险降低 10%相关(相对风险,RR 0.90;95%置信区间,CI 0.82 至 0.99)。亚组分析显示,所有检查的潜在混杂因素均得出一致结果。这项荟萃分析的结果可能支持这样一种假设,即咖啡消费与绝经后乳腺癌风险降低有关。