Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, Talbot 4W, Boston, MA, 02118, USA.
Curr Environ Health Rep. 2018 Mar;5(1):179-186. doi: 10.1007/s40572-018-0188-x.
I review literature on the impacts of climate change on air quality and human health, with a focus on articles published from 2013 on ozone and airborne particles. Selected previous literature is discussed where relevant in tracing the origins of our current knowledge.
Climate and weather have strong influences on the spatial and temporal distribution of air pollution concentrations. Emissions of ozone and PM precursors increase at higher ambient temperatures. The reactions that form ozone occur faster with greater sunlight and higher temperatures. Weather systems influence the movement and dispersion of air pollutants in the atmosphere through the action of winds, vertical mixing, and precipitation, all of which are likely to alter in a changing climate. Recent studies indicate that, holding anthropogenic air pollution emissions constant, ozone concentrations in populated regions will tend to increase in future climate scenarios. For the USA, the climate impact on ozone is most consistently seen in north-central and north-eastern states, with the potential for many thousands of additional ozone-related deaths. The sensitivity of anthropogenic PM to climate is more variable across studies and regions, owing to the varied nature of PM constituents, as well as to less complete characterization of PM reaction chemistry in available atmospheric models. However, PM emitted by wildland fires is likely to become an increasing health risk in many parts of the world as climate continues to change. The complex interactions between climate change and air quality imply that future policies to mitigate these twin challenges will benefit from greater coordination. Assessing the health implications of alternative policy approaches towards climate and pollution mitigation will be a critical area of future work.
本文回顾了气候变化对空气质量和人类健康影响的文献,重点关注了 2013 年以来有关臭氧和空气颗粒物的文章。在追溯我们目前知识的起源时,讨论了相关的先前文献。
气候和天气对空气污染浓度的时空分布有很强的影响。臭氧和 PM 前体的排放会随着环境温度的升高而增加。形成臭氧的反应在阳光和温度较高时会更快发生。天气系统通过风的作用、垂直混合和降水来影响大气中空气污染物的运动和扩散,所有这些在气候变化中都可能发生变化。最近的研究表明,在人为空气污染排放保持不变的情况下,未来气候情景中人口密集地区的臭氧浓度将趋于增加。对于美国,气候对臭氧的影响在中北部和东北部各州最为明显,可能会导致数千例与臭氧相关的额外死亡。由于 PM 成分的多样性以及可用大气模型中对 PM 反应化学的描述不够完整,人为 PM 对气候的敏感性在不同研究和地区之间变化较大。然而,随着气候继续变化,野火产生的 PM 很可能成为世界许多地区日益严重的健康风险。气候变化与空气质量之间的复杂相互作用意味着,未来减轻这双重挑战的政策将受益于更大的协调。评估替代气候和污染缓解政策方法对健康的影响将是未来工作的一个关键领域。