Emerg Infect Dis. 2018 Mar;24(3):471-477. doi: 10.3201/eid2403.171852.
In 2010, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began to develop an Influenza Risk Assessment Tool (IRAT) to methodically capture and assess information relating to influenza A viruses not currently circulating among humans. The IRAT uses a multiattribute, additive model to generate a summary risk score for each virus. Although the IRAT is not intended to predict the next pandemic influenza A virus, it has provided input into prepandemic preparedness decisions.
2010 年,疾病预防控制中心开始开发流感风险评估工具(IRAT),以系统地获取和评估与当前人类中未流行的甲型流感病毒相关的信息。IRAT 使用多属性、加法模型为每个病毒生成一个综合风险评分。尽管 IRAT 并非旨在预测下一次大流行的甲型流感病毒,但它已为大流行前的准备决策提供了依据。