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纳入 6 个易于获得的参数的列线图以鉴别肝内胆管细胞癌和肝细胞癌。

A nomogram incorporating six easily obtained parameters to discriminate intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and hepatocellular carcinoma.

机构信息

Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, 200438, China.

Department of Surgery, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, Michigan.

出版信息

Cancer Med. 2018 Mar;7(3):646-654. doi: 10.1002/cam4.1341. Epub 2018 Feb 23.

Abstract

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are the most prevalent histologic types of primary liver cancer (PLC). Although ICC and HCC share similar risk factors and clinical manifestations, ICC usually bears poorer prognosis than HCC. Confidently discriminating ICC and HCC before surgery is beneficial to both treatment and prognosis. Given the lack of effective differential diagnosis biomarkers and methods, construction of models based on available clinicopathological characteristics is in need. Nomograms present a simple and efficient way to make a discrimination. A total of 2894 patients who underwent surgery for PLC were collected. Of these, 1614 patients formed the training cohort for nomogram construction, and thereafter, 1280 patients formed the validation cohort to confirm the model's performance. Histopathologically confirmed ICC was diagnosed in 401 (24.8%) and 296 (23.1%) patients in these two cohorts, respectively. A nomogram integrating six easily obtained variables (Gender, Hepatitis B surface antigen, Aspartate aminotransferase, Alpha-fetoprotein, Carcinoembryonic antigen, Carbohydrate antigen 19-9) is proposed in accordance with Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC). A score of 15 was determined as the cut-off value, and the corresponding discrimination efficacy was sufficient. Additionally, patients who scored higher than 15 suffered poorer prognosis than those with lower scores, regardless of the subtype of PLC. A nomogram for clinical discrimination of ICC and HCC has been established, where a higher score indicates ICC and poor prognosis. Further application of this nomogram in multicenter investigations may confirm the practicality of this tool for future clinical use.

摘要

肝内胆管细胞癌 (ICC) 和肝细胞癌 (HCC) 是原发性肝癌 (PLC) 最常见的组织学类型。虽然 ICC 和 HCC 有相似的危险因素和临床表现,但 ICC 的预后通常比 HCC 差。在手术前准确地区分 ICC 和 HCC 有利于治疗和预后。鉴于缺乏有效的鉴别诊断生物标志物和方法,基于现有临床病理特征构建模型是必要的。列线图提供了一种简单有效的鉴别方法。共收集了 2894 例接受 PLC 手术的患者。其中,1614 例患者形成了列线图构建的训练队列,随后 1280 例患者形成了验证队列,以验证模型的性能。在这两个队列中,组织病理学证实的 ICC 分别诊断为 401 例 (24.8%) 和 296 例 (23.1%)。根据赤池信息量准则 (AIC),提出了一个整合六个易于获得的变量(性别、乙型肝炎表面抗原、天门冬氨酸氨基转移酶、甲胎蛋白、癌胚抗原、糖类抗原 19-9)的列线图。将 15 分作为截断值,对应的判别效能足够。此外,评分高于 15 的患者无论 PLC 亚型如何,预后均比评分较低的患者差。已经建立了用于 ICC 和 HCC 临床鉴别诊断的列线图,其中较高的分数表示 ICC 和较差的预后。在多中心研究中进一步应用该列线图可以证实该工具在未来临床应用中的实用性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/70dd/5852370/207a432911e8/CAM4-7-646-g001.jpg

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