From the Department of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, Mexico (I.G.-A., H.R.-R., S.J.R.).
Independent Consultant, Mexico City, Mexico (L.R.-B.).
Stroke. 2018 Jul;49(7):1734-1736. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.021034. Epub 2018 Jun 12.
Acute exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5 μm (PM) is associated with acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate these associations with specific causes of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality in Mexico City.
We obtained daily mortality records for Mexico City from 2004 to 2013 for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular causes in people ≥25 and ≥65 years old. Exposure to PM was assessed with daily estimates from a new hybrid spatiotemporal model using satellite measurements of aerosol optical depth PM and compared to ground level PM measurements with missing data estimated with generalized additive models PM. We fitted Poisson regression models with distributed lags for all mortality outcomes.
An increase of 10 µg/m in aerosol optical depth PM was associated with increased cardiovascular (1.22%; 95% confidence interval, 0.17-2.28) and cerebrovascular mortality (3.43%; 95% confidence interval, 0.10-6.28) for lag days 0 to 1 (lag 0-1). Stronger effects were identified for hemorrhagic stroke and people ≥65 years. Associations were slightly smaller using generalized additive models PM.
These results support the evidence that acute exposure to PM is associated with increased risk of specific cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality causes.
直径<2.5μm 的空气动力学颗粒物(PM)的急性暴露与急性心血管和脑血管死亡率有关。本研究旨在评估这些与墨西哥城特定心血管和脑血管死亡原因的关联。
我们获取了 2004 年至 2013 年期间墨西哥城≥25 岁和≥65 岁人群因心血管和脑血管疾病导致的每日死亡率记录。采用新的混合时空模型,利用气溶胶光学深度(PM)卫星测量值来评估 PM 暴露情况,并与使用广义加性模型(PM)估计具有缺失数据的地面 PM 测量值进行比较。我们为所有死亡率结果拟合了具有分布式滞后的泊松回归模型。
气溶胶光学深度(PM)每增加 10μg/m,心血管(1.22%;95%置信区间,0.17-2.28)和脑血管死亡率(3.43%;95%置信区间,0.10-6.28)在滞后 0 至 1 天(滞后 0-1)内呈上升趋势。出血性中风和≥65 岁人群的影响更强。使用广义加性模型(PM),关联结果稍小。
这些结果支持了急性暴露于 PM 与特定心血管和脑血管死亡原因风险增加有关的证据。