College of Environment and Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 Aug 22;15(9):1815. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15091815.
The mechanism of interaction between economic development, industrial structure and anthropogenic carbon emissions has become one of the focuses of climate change research. In this investigation, Henan Province was studied as an example, wherein the calculation model of carbon emissions in the primary, secondary and tertiary economic sectors was built using the ArcGIS 10.1 software. The spatiotemporal difference of carbon emissions between 2006 and 2015 from the three sectors was studied. The relation between economic development and environmental protection is discussed, based on the construction of a coordination degree model. Conclusions drawn from this analysis are: (1) In 2015, China's total carbon emissions reached 10,291.93 × 10⁷ t and Henan's carbon emissions accounted for 1.96% of China's total carbon emissions. The total carbon emissions in Henan Province increased more than 25.00% between 2006 and 2015. (2) Carbon emissions from different economic sectors demonstrated varied patterns. The primary sector presented a gradual decreasing trend in carbon emission, while the secondary sector showed a fluctuating pattern and the tertiary sector had an inclining trend in carbon emission. (3) There are also disparities in the spatial distribution of carbon emissions from different economic sectors. The primary and tertiary sectors had higher emissions in the southeast and lower emissions in the northwest regions, while the secondary sector showed higher emissions in the northwest and lower emissions in the southeast Between cities at different prefecture levels, differences do not only lie on the quantity of carbon emissions from the three sectors of economy but also a larger variation with regards to the change in quantity of carbon emissions. (4) The coordination degree of economic development was low among different prefecture-level cities. The economic and environmental development appeared coordinated among cities at the same prefecture level; however, coordination degrees among different prefecture-level cities varies significantly.
经济发展、产业结构和人为碳排放之间的相互作用机制已成为气候变化研究的焦点之一。本研究以河南省为例,利用 ArcGIS 10.1 软件构建了第一、二、三产业的碳排放计算模型,研究了 2006—2015 年河南省三大产业碳排放的时空差异,并构建了协调度模型,探讨了经济发展与环境保护的关系。结果表明:①2015 年中国碳排放量达到 10291.93×107 t,河南省碳排放量占全国的 1.96%,2006—2015 年河南省碳排放量增长超过 25.00%;②不同经济部门的碳排放量表现出不同的模式,第一产业的碳排放量呈逐渐减少的趋势,第二产业波动较大,第三产业碳排放量呈上升趋势;③不同经济部门的碳排放量空间分布也存在差异,第一、三产业的东南部碳排放量较高,西北部碳排放量较低,第二产业的西北部碳排放量较高,东南部碳排放量较低;④不同地级市之间经济发展的协调程度较低,同一地级市之间经济和环境发展较为协调,但不同地级市之间的协调程度差异较大。