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迈向实施《2030年议程》的系统和背景优先事项设定。

Towards systemic and contextual priority setting for implementing the 2030 Agenda.

作者信息

Weitz Nina, Carlsen Henrik, Nilsson Måns, Skånberg Kristian

机构信息

1Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), P.O. Box 24218, 104 51 Stockholm, Sweden.

2Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Sustain Sci. 2018;13(2):531-548. doi: 10.1007/s11625-017-0470-0. Epub 2017 Sep 12.

Abstract

How the sustainable development goals (SDGs) interact with each other has emerged as a key question in the implementation of the 2030 Agenda, as it has potentially strong implications for prioritization of actions and their effectiveness. So far, analysis of interactions has been very basic, typically starting from one SDG, counting the number of interactions, and discussing synergies and trade-offs from the perspective of that issue area. This paper pushes the frontier of how interactions amongst SDG targets can be understood and taken into account in policy and planning. It presents an approach to assessing systemic and contextual interactions of SDG targets, using a typology for scoring interactions in a cross-impact matrix and using network analysis techniques to explore the data. By considering how a target interacts with another target and how that target in turn interacts with other targets, results provide a more robust basis for priority setting of SDG efforts. The analysis identifies which targets have the most and least positive influence on the network and thus guides, where efforts may be directed (and not); where strong positive and negative links sit, raising warning flags to areas requiring extra attention; and how targets that reinforce each others' progress cluster, suggesting where important cross-sectoral collaboration between actors is merited. How interactions play out is context specific and the approach is tested on the case of Sweden to illustrate how priority setting, with the objective to enhance progress across all 17 SDGs, might change if systemic impacts are taken into consideration.

摘要

可持续发展目标(SDGs)之间如何相互作用已成为2030年议程实施过程中的一个关键问题,因为这可能对行动的优先次序及其有效性产生重大影响。到目前为止,对相互作用的分析还非常基础,通常从一个可持续发展目标出发,计算相互作用的数量,并从该问题领域的角度讨论协同效应和权衡取舍。本文拓展了如何在政策和规划中理解和考虑可持续发展目标之间相互作用的前沿领域。它提出了一种评估可持续发展目标之间系统和背景相互作用的方法,使用一种类型学在交叉影响矩阵中对相互作用进行评分,并使用网络分析技术来探索数据。通过考虑一个目标如何与另一个目标相互作用,以及该目标又如何与其他目标相互作用,结果为可持续发展目标工作的优先次序设定提供了更有力的依据。该分析确定了哪些目标对网络的积极影响最大和最小,从而指导工作的方向(以及不应该指向的方向);确定了强正相关和负相关联系所在的位置,对需要特别关注的领域发出警告;还确定了相互促进进展的目标如何聚类,表明哪些领域值得行为体之间进行重要的跨部门合作。相互作用如何发挥作用因具体情况而异,本文以瑞典为例对该方法进行了测试,以说明如果考虑到系统影响,旨在促进所有17个可持续发展目标取得进展的优先次序设定可能会如何变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3d50/6086277/72d2324309e4/11625_2017_470_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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