Nelson Institute Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment , University of Wisconsin - Madison , Madison , Wisconsin 53726 , United States.
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences , University of Wisconsin - Madison , Madison , Wisconsin 53706 , United States.
Environ Sci Technol. 2019 Apr 2;53(7):3987-3998. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.8b06417. Epub 2019 Mar 19.
While it is known that energy efficiency (EE) lowers power sector demand and emissions, study of the air quality and public health impacts of EE has been limited. Here, we quantify the air quality and mortality impacts of a 12% summertime (June, July, and August) reduction in baseload electricity demand. We use the AVoided Emissions and geneRation Tool (AVERT) to simulate plant-level generation and emissions, the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model to simulate air quality, and the Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program (BenMAP) to quantify mortality impacts. We find EE reduces emissions of NO by 13.2%, SO by 12.6%, and CO by 11.6%. On a nationwide, summer average basis, ambient PM is reduced 0.55% and O is reduced 0.45%. Reduced exposure to PM avoids 300 premature deaths annually (95% CI: 60 to 580) valued at $2.8 billion ($0.13 billion to $9.3 billion), and reduced exposure to O averts 175 deaths (101 to 244) valued at $1.6 billion ($0.15 billion to $4.5 billion). This translates into a health savings rate of $0.049/kWh ($0.031/kWh for PM and $0.018/kWh for O). These results illustrate the importance of capturing the health benefits of EE and its potential as a strategy to achieve air standards.
虽然人们知道能源效率 (EE) 可以降低电力部门的需求和排放,但对 EE 对空气质量和公共健康影响的研究一直很有限。在这里,我们量化了夏季(6、7 和 8 月)基本电力需求减少 12%对空气质量和死亡率的影响。我们使用 AVOIDED Emissions and geneRATION Tool (AVERT) 模拟工厂级别的发电和排放,使用社区多尺度空气质量模型 (CMAQ) 模拟空气质量,并使用环境效益映射和分析程序 (BenMAP) 量化死亡率的影响。我们发现 EE 减少了 13.2%的 NOx、12.6%的 SO2 和 11.6%的 CO 排放。在全国范围内,夏季平均水平下,环境 PM 减少了 0.55%,O3 减少了 0.45%。减少 PM 暴露可避免每年 300 人过早死亡(95%CI:60 至 580),价值 28 亿美元(13 亿至 93 亿美元),减少 O3 暴露可避免 175 人死亡(101 至 244),价值 16 亿美元(15 亿至 45 亿美元)。这相当于每千瓦时 0.049 美元的健康储蓄率(PM 为 0.031 美元,O3 为 0.018 美元)。这些结果说明了捕捉 EE 健康效益的重要性及其作为实现空气质量标准的策略的潜力。