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与公众就恐怖主义持枪袭击进行沟通:影响英国和丹麦“跑、藏、报”意愿的因素调查实验结果。

Communicating with the Public About Marauding Terrorist Firearms Attacks: Results from a Survey Experiment on Factors Influencing Intention to "Run, Hide, Tell" in the United Kingdom and Denmark.

机构信息

Department of War Studies, King's College London, London, UK.

Department of Political Science, Aarhus University, Bartholins Alle, Aarhus C, Denmark.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2019 Aug;39(8):1675-1694. doi: 10.1111/risa.13301. Epub 2019 Mar 20.

Abstract

Effective risk communication is an integral part of responding to terrorism, but until recently, there has been very little pre-event communication in a European context to provide advice to the public on how to protect themselves during an attack. Following terrorist attacks involving mass shootings in Paris, France, in November 2015, the U.K. National Police Chiefs' Council released a Stay Safe film and leaflet that advises the public to "run," "hide," and "tell" in the event of a firearms or weapons attack. However, other countries, including Denmark, do not provide preparedness information of this kind, in large part because of concern about scaring the public. In this survey experiment, 3,003 U.K. and Danish participants were randomly assigned to one of three conditions: no information, a leaflet intervention, and a film intervention to examine the impact of "Run, Hide, Tell" advice on perceptions about terrorism, the security services, and intended responses to a hypothetical terrorist firearms attack. Results demonstrate important benefits of pre-event communication in relation to enhancing trust, encouraging protective health behaviors, and discouraging potentially dangerous actions. However, these findings also suggest that future communications should address perceived response costs and target specific problem behaviors. Cross-national similarities in response suggest this advice is suitable for adaptation in other countries.

摘要

有效的风险沟通是应对恐怖主义的一个组成部分,但直到最近,在欧洲背景下,几乎没有事先的沟通来向公众提供在袭击中如何保护自己的建议。在 2015 年 11 月法国巴黎发生涉及大规模枪击的恐怖袭击后,英国国家警察局长理事会发布了一部《保持安全》的电影和传单,建议公众在发生枪支或武器袭击时“逃跑”、“躲藏”和“报告”。然而,包括丹麦在内的其他国家并没有提供这种准备信息,这在很大程度上是因为担心吓唬公众。在这项调查实验中,3003 名英国和丹麦参与者被随机分配到以下三种条件之一:无信息、传单干预和电影干预,以检验“逃跑、躲藏、报告”建议对恐怖主义、安全服务和对假设的恐怖主义枪支袭击的预期反应的影响。结果表明,预先沟通在增强信任、鼓励保护健康行为和阻止潜在危险行为方面具有重要的好处。然而,这些发现也表明,未来的沟通应该解决感知到的反应成本,并针对特定的问题行为。在应对方面的跨国相似性表明,这种建议适合在其他国家进行改编。

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