Wald N J, Nanchahal K, Thompson S G, Cuckle H S
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1986 Nov 8;293(6556):1217-22. doi: 10.1136/bmj.293.6556.1217.
The available epidemiological studies of lung cancer and exposure to other people's tobacco smoke, in which exposure was assessed by whether or not a person classified as a non-smoker lived with a smoker, were identified and the results combined. There were 10 case-control studies and three prospective studies. Overall, there was a highly significant 35% increase in the risk of lung cancer among non-smokers living with smokers compared with non-smokers living with non-smokers (relative risk 1.35, 95% confidence interval 1.19 to 1.54). Part of this increase was almost certainly caused by the misclassification of some smokers as non-smokers. As smokers, who are more likely to get lung cancer than non-smokers, tend to live with smokers this misclassification probably exaggerated the estimated increase in risk. Adjustment for this error reduced the estimate to 30% (relative risk 1.30), but as people who live with non-smokers may still be exposed to other people's smoke this estimate was revised again to allow for the fact that a truly unexposed reference group was not used. The increase in risk among non-smokers living with smokers compared with a completely unexposed group was thus estimated as 53% (relative risk of 1.53). This analysis, and the fact that non-smokers breathe environmental tobacco smoke, which contains carcinogens, into their lungs and that the generally accepted view is that there is no safe threshold for the effect of carcinogens, leads to the conclusion that breathing other people's tobacco smoke is a cause of lung cancer. About a third of the cases of lung cancer in non-smokers who live with smokers, and about a quarter of the cases in non-smokers in general, may be attributed to such exposure.
我们检索了关于肺癌与接触他人烟草烟雾的现有流行病学研究,这些研究通过将非吸烟者是否与吸烟者同住来评估接触情况,并汇总了研究结果。共有10项病例对照研究和3项前瞻性研究。总体而言,与非吸烟者同住的非吸烟者患肺癌的风险比与非吸烟者同住的非吸烟者高35%,差异具有高度显著性(相对风险为1.35,95%置信区间为1.19至1.54)。这种增加几乎肯定部分是由于一些吸烟者被误分类为非吸烟者所致。由于吸烟者比非吸烟者更易患肺癌,且吸烟者往往与吸烟者同住,这种误分类可能夸大了估计的风险增加。对这一误差进行调整后,估计值降至30%(相对风险为1.30),但由于与非吸烟者同住的人仍可能接触他人的烟雾,且未使用真正未接触的参照组,因此这一估计值再次进行了修订。与完全未接触组相比,与吸烟者同住的非吸烟者的风险增加估计为53%(相对风险为1.53)。这一分析以及非吸烟者会将含有致癌物的环境烟草烟雾吸入肺部这一事实,再加上普遍接受的观点是致癌物的影响不存在安全阈值,得出的结论是,吸入他人的烟草烟雾是肺癌的一个病因。与吸烟者同住的非吸烟者中约三分之一的肺癌病例,以及一般非吸烟者中约四分之一的病例,可能归因于这种接触。