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巴西道路交通事故中的行人死亡率:1996 - 2015年时间趋势分析

Pedestrian mortality in road traffic accidents in Brazil: time trend analysis, 1996-2015.

作者信息

Fernandes Camila Mariano, Boing Alexandra Crispim

机构信息

Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil.

出版信息

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2019;28(1):e2018079. doi: 10.5123/S1679-49742019000100021. Epub 2019 Apr 8.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

to analyze the mortality coefficient trend for road traffic accidents involving pedestrians in Brazil, by sex, age range and macro-region, between 1996 and 2015.

METHODS

this was an ecological time series study using data from the Ministry of Health's Mortality Information System (SIM); Prais-Winstein generalized linear regression was used to calculate annual percentage change.

RESULTS

pedestrian deaths corresponded to 26.5% of deaths due to road traffic accidents; mortality among pedestrians decreased 63.2% in the country as a whole, with the standardized coefficient varying between 8.9 to 3.3 per 100,000 inhabitants, although the decrease in the country's North and the Northeast regions was slower than the national average; being run over was significantly higher among men and the elderly.

CONCLUSION

although mortality among pedestrians is decreasing in all regions of the country, current figures still account for a large part of road traffic mortality.

摘要

目的

分析1996年至2015年间巴西涉及行人的道路交通事故死亡率系数趋势,按性别、年龄范围和大区划分。

方法

这是一项生态时间序列研究,使用了卫生部死亡率信息系统(SIM)的数据;采用普赖斯-温斯坦广义线性回归计算年度百分比变化。

结果

行人死亡占道路交通事故死亡人数的26.5%;全国行人死亡率下降了63.2%,标准化系数在每10万居民8.9至3.3之间变化,尽管该国北部和东北部地区的下降速度低于全国平均水平;男性和老年人被碾压的情况明显更高。

结论

尽管该国所有地区的行人死亡率都在下降,但目前的数字仍占道路交通死亡率的很大一部分。

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