Newman Galen, Malecha Matthew, Yu Siyu, Qiao Zixu, Horney Jennifer, Lee Jaekyung, Kim You-Jung, Lee Ryun J, Berke Philip
Department of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA.
College of Health Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware, USA.
Landsc Res. 2020;45(1):63-80. doi: 10.1080/01426397.2019.1569219. Epub 2019 Feb 7.
Uncertainty about the impacts of sea level rise make the ability to forecast future spatial conditions a necessary planning/design tool. Geodesign integrates multiple fields of science with change/impact models and planning/design strategies. Proactive planning analyses such as newly developed scorecards allow for plan evaluation; design strategies can now be quantitatively assessed using landscape performance calculators. Neither have been explored as Geodesign tools. A Geodesign process was developed using the resilience scorecard to assess flood vulnerability using projections for the 100 year floodplain with sea level rise by 2100. Projections were used as a guide to develop a resilient master plan for League City, TX, USA. Future impacts of the plan are projected using landscape performance measures.
海平面上升影响的不确定性使得预测未来空间状况的能力成为一种必要的规划/设计工具。地理设计将多门科学领域与变化/影响模型以及规划/设计策略整合在一起。诸如新开发的记分卡之类的前瞻性规划分析有助于进行规划评估；现在可以使用景观性能计算器对设计策略进行定量评估。但这两者都尚未作为地理设计工具进行探索。利用弹性记分卡开发了一个地理设计过程，以使用到2100年海平面上升情况下100年洪泛区的预测来评估洪水脆弱性。这些预测被用作指南，为美国得克萨斯州莱克城制定一个有弹性的总体规划。该规划的未来影响使用景观性能指标进行预测。
