García-Gomis Arancha, Villanueva Lidón, Jara Pilar
Department of Developmental Psychology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain.
Methodological Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain.
Psychiatr Psychol Law. 2016 Nov 24;24(2):308-318. doi: 10.1080/13218719.2016.1247419. eCollection 2017.
The predictive validity of risk factors for recidivism in general offenders is well known, but few studies have considered specific crimes - such as non-violent property offences - in this context. The prediction of risk factors on recidivism among general and property offenders is analysed in an attempt to capture any motivational differences underlying diverse types of crimes. Subsamples of theft and property damage offenders were extracted from a general population of 210 juvenile offenders aged between 14 and 18 years. All participants were assessed using the Spanish version of the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) and their recidivism rates were evaluated in terms of the number of new records in a 24-month follow-up period. Factors pertaining to the Big Four (especially the antisocial peers risk factor) seem to be the most predictive factors for both general offenders and non-violent property offenders; the type of crime does not seem to make a significant difference to youth offenders' needs.
一般罪犯再犯风险因素的预测效度是众所周知的,但在此背景下,很少有研究考虑特定犯罪,如非暴力财产犯罪。本文分析了一般罪犯和财产罪犯再犯风险因素的预测情况,试图找出不同类型犯罪背后的动机差异。从210名年龄在14至18岁的青少年罪犯总体中抽取了盗窃和财产损害罪犯子样本。所有参与者都使用西班牙语版的《青少年服务水平/案件管理量表》(YLS/CMI)进行评估,并根据24个月随访期内新记录的数量评估他们的再犯率。与“四大因素”(尤其是反社会同伴风险因素)相关的因素似乎是一般罪犯和非暴力财产罪犯最具预测性的因素;犯罪类型似乎对青少年罪犯的需求没有显著影响。