Roshan Gholamreza, Arab Maryam, Klimenko Vladimir
1Department of Geography, Golestan University, Shahid Beheshti, Gorgan, 49138-15759 Iran.
Department of Architecture, Islamic Azad University of Gonbad Kavous branch, Gonbad Kavous, Iran.
J Environ Health Sci Eng. 2019 Dec 4;17(2):889-906. doi: 10.1007/s40201-019-00406-6. eCollection 2019 Dec.
In this study, it has been attempted to quantify model climate change effects of the coming decades on energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions of a dominant building brigade under hot and humid climates on the southern coast of Iran, based on three stations of Bushehr, Bandar Abbas and Chabahar. In this research, the Meteonorm and DesignBuilder software have been used for climate and thermal simulation of building. One of the results of this study is the increase in temperature and relative humidity for the coming decades for all three study stations. The findings of this study showed that the average annual temperature for the 2060s compared to the present decade, will increase by 2.82 °C for Bandar Abbas, by 2.79 °C for Bushehr and for Chabahar it will reach 2.14 °C. This increase in temperature has led to an increase in discomfort warmer days and a decrease in discomfort cold days. But given the climatic type of the area, a decrease in the heating energy demand for the coming decades will not have a significant effect on the pattern of energy consumption inside buildings. Because for two stations of Bandar Abbas and Chabahar, more than 95% of the energy demand for the 2060s is for cooling energy demand, which is about 80% of energy for Bushehr. In total, due to the increased demand for cooling energy in the coming decades, this will further increase carbon dioxide emissions, which is higher in Chabahar than in other study stations.
在本研究中，基于布什尔、阿巴斯港和恰巴哈尔三个站点，试图量化未来几十年气候变化模型对伊朗南部海岸炎热潮湿气候下一个主要建筑群体的能源需求和二氧化碳排放的影响。在这项研究中，使用了Meteonorm和DesignBuilder软件对建筑进行气候和热模拟。本研究的结果之一是，未来几十年所有三个研究站点的温度和相对湿度都会上升。该研究结果表明，与当前十年相比，2060年代阿巴斯港的年平均温度将上升2.82摄氏度，布什尔将上升2.79摄氏度，恰巴哈尔将达到2.14摄氏度。温度的升高导致了不适宜温暖天数的增加和不适宜寒冷天数的减少。但考虑到该地区的气候类型，未来几十年供暖能源需求的下降对建筑物内部的能源消耗模式不会产生显著影响。因为对于阿巴斯港和恰巴哈尔这两个站点，2060年代超过95%的能源需求是制冷能源需求，在布什尔这一比例约为80%。总体而言，由于未来几十年制冷能源需求的增加，这将进一步增加二氧化碳排放，恰巴哈尔的排放量高于其他研究站点。
