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Special report: The simulations driving the world's response to COVID-19.

作者信息

Adam David

出版信息

Nature. 2020 Apr;580(7803):316-318. doi: 10.1038/d41586-020-01003-6.

DOI:10.1038/d41586-020-01003-6
PMID:32242115
Abstract
摘要

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The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study.控制策略对减少社交接触以控制中国武汉 COVID-19 疫情的效果：建模研究。
Lancet Public Health. 2020 May;5(5):e261-e270. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6. Epub 2020 Mar 25.
2
Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China.中国武汉地区 2019 年新型冠状病毒感染患者的临床特征。
Lancet. 2020 Feb 15;395(10223):497-506. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5. Epub 2020 Jan 24.
3
Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15.
使用基于智能体的方法对建筑项目中的工作班次进行建模，以尽量减少新冠病毒的传播。
J Build Eng. 2021 Sep;41:102413. doi: 10.1016/j.jobe.2021.102413. Epub 2021 Mar 18.
4
Coaching self-defense under COVID-19: challenges and solutions in the police and civilian domain.新冠疫情下的自卫指导：警察与民用领域的挑战及解决方案
Secur J. 2022;35(1):118-132. doi: 10.1057/s41284-020-00269-9. Epub 2020 Nov 22.
5
Dynamics of an epidemic controlled by isolation and quarantine: A probability-based deterministic model.通过隔离和检疫控制的流行病动态：一个基于概率的确定性模型。
Infect Dis Model. 2025 Mar 18;10(3):813-839. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2025.03.007. eCollection 2025 Sep.
6
Explaining international differences in excess mortality due to Covid-19.解释新冠疫情导致的超额死亡率的国际差异。
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 22;15(1):13879. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-92403-z.
7
The role of artificial intelligence in pandemic responses: from epidemiological modeling to vaccine development.人工智能在大流行应对中的作用：从流行病学建模到疫苗研发。
Mol Biomed. 2025 Jan 3;6(1):1. doi: 10.1186/s43556-024-00238-3.
8
Out of sight but still in mind: Developing an expectation for surprises by formalizing unknowledge in a contemporary risk-assessment framework.视而不见却仍铭记于心：通过在当代风险评估框架中形式化未知来培养对意外的预期。
Risk Anal. 2025 Jun;45(6):1199-1206. doi: 10.1111/risa.17661. Epub 2024 Oct 8.
9
Open-sourced modeling and simulating tools for decision-makers during an emerging pandemic or epidemic - Systematic evaluation of utility and usability: A scoping review update.新兴大流行或流行病期间供决策者使用的开源建模与模拟工具——效用和可用性的系统评估：范围综述更新
Dialogues Health. 2024 Sep 3;5:100189. doi: 10.1016/j.dialog.2024.100189. eCollection 2024 Dec.
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Prediction of daily new COVID-19 cases - Difficulties and possible solutions.预测每日新增 COVID-19 病例——难点及可能的解决方案。
PLoS One. 2024 Aug 23;19(8):e0307092. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0307092. eCollection 2024.
评估实时疫情预测的性能：以 2014-15 年塞拉利昂西部地区埃博拉疫情为例。
PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Feb 11;15(2):e1006785. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785. eCollection 2019 Feb.
4
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.缓解流感大流行的策略。
Nature. 2006 Jul 27;442(7101):448-52. doi: 10.1038/nature04795. Epub 2006 Apr 26.
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Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia.东南亚遏制新型流感大流行的策略。
Nature. 2005 Sep 8;437(7056):209-14. doi: 10.1038/nature04017. Epub 2005 Aug 3.