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2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者胸部CT影像进展的预测因素

Predictors for imaging progression on chest CT from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients.

作者信息

Yang Zongguo, Shi Jia, He Zhang, Lü Ying, Xu Qingnian, Ye Chen, Chen Shishi, Tang Bozong, Yin Keshan, Lu Yunfei, Chen Xiaorong

机构信息

Department of Integrative Medicine, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China.

Department of Neurology, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai 201508, China.

出版信息

Aging (Albany NY). 2020 Apr 10;12(7):6037-6048. doi: 10.18632/aging.102999.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the potential parameters associated with imaging progression on chest CT from coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) patients.

RESULTS

The average age of 273 COVID-19 patients enrolled with imaging progression were older than those without imaging progression (p = 0.006). The white blood cells, platelets, neutrophils and acid glycoprotein were all decreased in imaging progression patients (all p < 0.05), and monocytes were increased (p = 0.025). The parameters including homocysteine, urea, creatinine and serum cystatin C were significantly higher in imaging progression patients (all p < 0.05), while eGFR decreased (p < 0.001). Monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) was significantly higher in imaging progression patients compared to that in imaging progression-free ones (p < 0.001). Logistic models revealed that age, MLR, homocysteine and period from onset to admission were factors for predicting imaging progression on chest CT at first week from COVID-19 patients (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Age, MLR, homocysteine and period from onset to admission could predict imaging progression on chest CT from COVID-19 patients.

METHODS

The primary outcome was imaging progression on chest CT. Baseline parameters were collected at the first day of admission. Imaging manifestations on chest CT were followed-up at (6±1) days.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在调查与新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)患者胸部CT影像进展相关的潜在参数。

结果

纳入的273例有影像进展的COVID-19患者的平均年龄高于无影像进展的患者(p = 0.006)。有影像进展的患者白细胞、血小板、中性粒细胞和酸性糖蛋白均降低(均p < 0.05),单核细胞升高(p = 0.025)。有影像进展的患者同型半胱氨酸、尿素、肌酐和血清胱抑素C等参数显著更高(均p < 0.05),而估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)降低(p < 0.001)。有影像进展的患者单核细胞与淋巴细胞比值(MLR)显著高于无影像进展的患者(p < 0.001)。逻辑模型显示,年龄、MLR、同型半胱氨酸和发病至入院时间是预测COVID-19患者第1周胸部CT影像进展的因素(均p < 0.05)。

结论

年龄、MLR、同型半胱氨酸和发病至入院时间可预测COVID-19患者胸部CT的影像进展。

方法

主要结局是胸部CT的影像进展。入院第1天收集基线参数。在(6±1)天对胸部CT的影像表现进行随访。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d489/7185104/f51ebafd20f8/aging-12-102999-g001.jpg

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