Alae-Carew Carmelia, Bird Frances A, Choudhury Samira, Harris Francesca, Aleksandrowicz Lukasz, Milner James, Joy Edward Jm, Agrawal Sutapa, Dangour Alan D, Green Rosemary
Department of Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Centre for Development, Environment and Policy, School of Oriental & African Studies, London, WC1H 0XG, UK.
Glob Food Sec. 2019 Dec;23:182-190. doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2019.05.006.
Against a backdrop of a rapidly changing food system and a growing population, characterisation of likely future diets in India can help to inform agriculture and health policies. We systematically searched six published literature databases and grey literature repositories up to January 2018 for studies projecting the consumption of foods in India to time points beyond 2018. The 11 identified studies reported on nine foods up to 2050: the available evidence suggests projected increases in per capita consumption of vegetables, fruit and dairy products, and little projected change in cereal (rice and wheat) and pulse consumption. Meat consumption is projected to remain low. Understanding and mitigating the impacts of projected dietary changes in India is important to protect public health and the environment.
在粮食系统迅速变化和人口不断增长的背景下，对印度未来可能的饮食进行特征描述有助于为农业和卫生政策提供参考。我们系统地检索了截至2018年1月的六个已发表文献数据库和灰色文献库，以查找预测印度食品消费到2018年以后时间点的研究。所确定的11项研究报告了截至2050年的9种食品的情况：现有证据表明，预计蔬菜、水果和乳制品的人均消费量会增加，而谷物（大米和小麦）和豆类消费预计变化不大。预计肉类消费量仍将较低。了解并减轻印度预计饮食变化的影响对于保护公众健康和环境至关重要。
