Salminen Marika, Laine Jonna, Vahlberg Tero, Viikari Paula, Wuorela Maarit, Viitanen Matti, Viikari Laura
City of Turku, Welfare Division/Turku City Hospital, Kunnallissairaalantie 20, 20700, Turku, Finland.
Faculty of Medicine, Unit of Family Medicine, University of Turku, Joukahaisenkatu 3-5 A, 20014, Turku, Finland.
Eur Geriatr Med. 2020 Oct;11(5):745-751. doi: 10.1007/s41999-020-00338-7. Epub 2020 Jun 4.
To examine the effect of predictive factors on institutionalization among older patients.
The participants were older (aged 75 years or older) home-dwelling citizens evaluated at Urgent Geriatric Outpatient Clinic (UrGeriC) for the first time between the 1st of September 2013 and the 1st of September 2014 (n = 1300). They were followed up for institutionalization for 3 years. Death was used as a competing risk in Cox regression analyses.
The mean age of the participants was 85.1 years (standard deviation [SD] 5.5, range 75-103 years), and 74% were female. The rates of institutionalization and mortality were 29.9% and 46.1%, respectively. The mean age for institutionalization was 86.1 (SD 5.6) years. According to multivariate Cox regression analyses, the use of home care (hazard ratio 2.43, 95% confidence interval 1.80-3.27, p < 0.001), dementia (2.38, 1.90-2.99, p < 0.001), higher age (≥ 95 vs. 75-84; 1.65, 1.03-2.62, p = 0.036), and falls during the previous 12 months (≥ 2 vs. no falls; 1.54, 1.10-2.16, p = 0.012) significantly predicted institutionalization during the 3-year follow-up.
Cognitive and/or functional impairment mainly predicted institutionalization among older patients of UrGeriC having health problems and acute difficulties in managing at home.
探讨预测因素对老年患者机构化的影响。
研究对象为2013年9月1日至2014年9月1日期间首次在老年急诊门诊(UrGeriC)接受评估的居家老年(年龄75岁及以上)居民(n = 1300)。对他们进行了3年的机构化随访。在Cox回归分析中,将死亡作为竞争风险。
参与者的平均年龄为85.1岁(标准差[SD] 5.5,范围75 - 103岁),74%为女性。机构化率和死亡率分别为29.9%和46.1%。机构化的平均年龄为86.1(SD 5.6)岁。根据多变量Cox回归分析,使用家庭护理(风险比2.43,95%置信区间1.80 - 3.27,p < 0.001)、痴呆(2.38,1.90 - 2.99,p < 0.001)、高龄(≥95岁与75 - 84岁相比;1.65,1.03 - 2.62,p = 0.036)以及过去12个月内跌倒(≥2次与未跌倒相比;1.54,1.10 - 2.16,p = 0.012)在3年随访期间显著预测了机构化。
认知和/或功能障碍主要预测了UrGeriC中存在健康问题且在家中管理有急性困难的老年患者的机构化。