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多主体演化博弈在建筑废弃物回收利用中的应用。

Multi-agent evolutionary game in the recycling utilization of construction waste.

机构信息

School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Anyang Normal University, Anyang 455000, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 Oct 10;738:139826. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139826. Epub 2020 Jun 2.

Abstract

The recycling utilization of construction waste (CW) is of great importance to reduce waste discharge and protect natural resources. This study investigated the evolutionary decision making process and stable strategies among three stakeholders, including the government agency (GA), waste recycler (WR) and waste producer (WP), involved in CW recycling industry based on the game theory. The main factors that affected the strategies of the stakeholders were analyzed and the tripartite evolutionary game model is provided. The evolutionary stability strategy and stability conditions were analyzed subsequently. A numerical simulation illustrated the effectiveness of the proposed method, with which the evolutionary decision making process and stable strategies among the three stakeholders are simulated. It is shown that the GA plays different roles in different stages of the development of CW recycling industry. In the early stage, the supervision and policies of the GA are critical to improve the proportion of enterprises that implement the recycling strategy. With the mature of the CW recycling industry, it is profitable for enterprises to implement waste recycling, and a high proportion of enterprises choose to implement recycling strategy. Under this circumstance, the GA will gradually decrease their interventions to enterprises, and finally evolve into no supervision. Besides, it also concludes that low penalties and subsidies are not conducive to the evolution of the optimal strategy among the three participants, and excessive supervision costs will reduce the regulatory willingness of the GA, hindering the enthusiasm of WRs and WPs to implement the recycling strategy.

摘要

建筑废料(CW)的循环利用对于减少废物排放和保护自然资源具有重要意义。本研究基于博弈论,调查了参与 CW 回收行业的三方利益相关者(包括政府机构(GA)、废料回收商(WR)和废料生产者(WP))的演化决策过程和稳定策略。分析了影响利益相关者策略的主要因素,并提供了三方演化博弈模型。随后分析了演化稳定策略和稳定条件。数值模拟说明了所提出方法的有效性,通过该方法模拟了三个利益相关者之间的演化决策过程和稳定策略。结果表明,GA 在 CW 回收行业发展的不同阶段扮演着不同的角色。在早期,GA 的监督和政策对于提高实施回收策略的企业比例至关重要。随着 CW 回收行业的成熟,企业实施废物回收变得有利可图,并且很大比例的企业选择实施回收策略。在这种情况下,GA 将逐渐减少对企业的干预,最终演变为不进行监督。此外,研究还发现,低罚款和补贴不利于三方参与者的最佳策略演化,过高的监管成本会降低 GA 的监管意愿,阻碍 WR 和 WP 实施回收策略的积极性。

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