Institute for Disinfection and Vector Control, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, 100013, China.
Sci Rep. 2023 May 5;13(1):7342. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-33561-w.
Cockroach control in Beijing's residential households is supported by the local government previously but now it is paid by the residents themselves. Under the new residential household cockroach control strategy, the evolutionary game theory is applied in this study to construct an evolutionary game model for the choice behaviour of both PCO (Pest Control Operation) enterprises and the local governments under government regulation. The evolutionary stabilization strategies under different situations were suggested and the key factors for the evolutionary game behaviour were analyzed through Matlab simulation. It was found that the benefits and costs of the local governments' promotion for the cockroach eradication activities, the incremental benefits of PCO enterprises through government publicity and the subsidies for the activities, and the additional costs of PCO enterprises to participate in cockroach eradication activities are the key factors. The incremental benefits from the publicity of the activities and the government subsidies can be used to incent the PCO enterprises' activities, which may be failure without the government promotion. This study confirms the decisive role of the strategic choices of PCO enterprises and the government for effective cockroach eradication activities. Therefore, before the campaign is launched, it is necessary to take into account the economic benefits of PCO enterprises and the public interests of the governments so that the game system can evolve out of the "ineffective" and undesirable "locked" state and evolve towards the ideal state, while would be a basis for other anti- pest efforts.
北京居民家庭蟑螂控制工作曾由当地政府支持,但现在已改为居民自费。在新的居民家庭蟑螂控制策略下,本研究运用演化博弈理论构建了政府监管下有害生物防制企业(PCO)和地方政府选择行为的演化博弈模型。通过 Matlab 模拟,提出了不同情况下的演化稳定策略,并分析了演化博弈行为的关键因素。结果表明,地方政府对灭蟑活动的推广收益、PCO 企业通过政府宣传和活动补贴获得的增量收益、PCO 企业参与灭蟑活动的额外成本是关键因素。活动宣传和政府补贴的增量收益可以激励 PCO 企业的活动,如果没有政府的推动,可能会失败。本研究证实了 PCO 企业和政府的战略选择对有效灭蟑活动的决定性作用。因此,在开展活动之前,有必要考虑 PCO 企业的经济效益和政府的公共利益,以使博弈系统能够摆脱“无效”和不理想的“锁定”状态,朝着理想状态演化,同时也为其他除虫工作提供依据。