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2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行与经济影响。

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic and Economic Impact.

作者信息

Ahmad Tauseef, Baig Mukhtiar, Hui Jin

机构信息

Tauseef Ahmad, M.Phil. Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China, Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine Engineering, Ministry of Education, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China.

Haroon, M.Phil. College of Life Science, Northwest University, Xian, China.

出版信息

Pak J Med Sci. 2020 May;36(COVID19-S4):S73-S78. doi: 10.12669/pjms.36.COVID19-S4.2638.

Abstract

In less than two decades, the world has experienced three outbreaks of deadly Coronaviruses, including the recent pandemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China. COVID-19 posed an emergency of international concerns, and cases have been reported in more than 200 countries/regions that resulted in health, lives, and economic losses. China's economic growth is projected to fall to 5.6% this year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected that policy investment and tax policies to implement $3.3 trillion and contributes further $4.5 trillion. IMF forecasts grow from 3.7% of global gross domestic product (GDP) in 2019 to 9.9% in 2020. GDP ratio projected from 3.0% in 2019 to grow 10.7% in 2020, the US ratio expected to increase from 5.8% to 15.7%. France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom (UK) each reported public sector funding programs totalling > 10% of their yearly GDP. There is a dire need for regional and international co-operation to extend hands to prevent further spreading of COVID-19.

摘要

在不到二十年的时间里,全球经历了三次致命冠状病毒疫情,包括近期在中国爆发的2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行。COVID-19引发了国际关注的紧急情况,已有200多个国家/地区报告了病例,造成了健康、生命和经济损失。国际货币基金组织(IMF)预计,中国今年的经济增长率将降至5.6%,预计政策投资和税收政策将实施3.3万亿美元,并进一步贡献4.5万亿美元。IMF预测,中国占全球国内生产总值(GDP)的比例将从2019年的3.7%升至2020年的9.9%。预计GDP占比将从2019年的3.0%升至2020年的10.7%,美国的占比预计将从5.8%升至15.7%。法国、德国、意大利、日本和英国均报告了公共部门的资金计划,总额超过其年度GDP的10%。迫切需要区域和国际合作伸出援手,以防止COVID-19进一步传播。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92fd/7306969/16cc5b91cee4/PJMS-36-S73-g001.jpg

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