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新冠疫情封锁期间东亚地区的远距离空气污染传输

Long-range air pollution transport in East Asia during the first week of the COVID-19 lockdown in China.

机构信息

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan.

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 Nov 1;741:140214. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140214. Epub 2020 Jun 15.

Abstract

Long-range transport (LRT) of air pollutants from East Asia during the northeast monsoon season impacts several downwind locations. In 2020, the initial COVID-19 lockdowns in China overlapped with Week 3 of the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday, and an Asian outflow event. Thus, movement of the Chinese populace from city to city was already greatly reduced by the time of the LRT episode, although the reductions in industrial output are less clear. We found NO column concentrations were reduced by 24% during the CNY Week 3 this year compared to previous years. The attenuated transport event arrived to northern Taiwan with a PM concentration <45 μg m and most often <35 μg m, which is 2-3 times lower than LRT episodes of similar back-trajectory and synoptic patterns. The whole episode persisted for about 60 h, longer than most LRT episodes from China to Taiwan. CMAQ v5.2.1 modeling of the LRT event with 100% emission and reduced emission scenarios, revealed emissions in China were approximately 50% less than normal periods. Due to the length of the episode and the significant reduction in emissions, Taiwan avoided a PM surplus of 19.2 μg m on average during the episode, equivalent to a 0.5 μg m reduction for the whole 3-month winter season. Employing the 100% emission model scenario and scaling up to the average episode hours each winter, the PM surplus delivered via plumes on the northeast monsoon is equivalent to a 0.5 μg m surplus for the whole year.

摘要

污染物在东北季风季节从东亚的远距离输送(LRT)会影响到几个下风地区。2020 年,中国最初的 COVID-19 封锁与中国农历新年(CNY)假期的第三周以及亚洲外流事件重叠。因此,在 LRT 事件发生时,中国民众从一个城市到另一个城市的流动已经大大减少,尽管工业产出的减少不太明显。我们发现,与前几年相比,今年 CNY 第三周的 NO 柱浓度降低了 24%。衰减的输送事件到达台湾北部时,PM 浓度<45μg/m,且大多数情况下<35μg/m,比具有相似后向轨迹和天气模式的 LRT 事件低 2-3 倍。整个事件持续了约 60 小时,比大多数从中国到台湾的 LRT 事件都要长。CMAQ v5.2.1 对 LRT 事件进行了 100%排放和减排情景的模拟,结果表明中国的排放量比正常时期减少了约 50%。由于事件持续时间长,以及排放量的显著减少,台湾在整个 3 个月的冬季平均避免了 19.2μg/m 的 PM 过剩,相当于整个冬季减少了 0.5μg/m。采用 100%排放模型情景,并按每个冬季的平均事件小时数进行扩展,东北季风输送的污染物羽流造成的 PM 过剩相当于全年的 0.5μg/m 过剩。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d83e/7295523/fd498a5427da/ga1_lrg.jpg

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