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本文引用的文献

1
Adolescents show collective intelligence which can be driven by a geometric mean rule of thumb.青少年表现出的集体智慧可以由一个几何平均经验法则驱动。
PLoS One. 2018 Sep 24;13(9):e0204462. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0204462. eCollection 2018.
2
Counteracting estimation bias and social influence to improve the wisdom of crowds.对抗估计偏差和社会影响,以提高群体智慧。
J R Soc Interface. 2018 Apr;15(141). doi: 10.1098/rsif.2018.0130.
3
The spread of true and false news online.网络上真实和虚假新闻的传播。
Science. 2018 Mar 9;359(6380):1146-1151. doi: 10.1126/science.aap9559.
4
How social information can improve estimation accuracy in human groups.社会信息如何提高人类群体中的估计准确性。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Nov 21;114(47):12620-12625. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1703695114. Epub 2017 Nov 8.
5
Evidence of complex contagion of information in social media: An experiment using Twitter bots.社交媒体中信息复杂传播的证据:一项使用推特机器人的实验
PLoS One. 2017 Sep 22;12(9):e0184148. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0184148. eCollection 2017.
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Dealing with Big Numbers: Representation and Understanding of Magnitudes Outside of Human Experience.处理大数字:对超出人类经验范围的数量级的表示与理解。
Cogn Sci. 2017 May;41(4):1020-1041. doi: 10.1111/cogs.12388. Epub 2016 Jul 29.
7
Modelling Influence and Opinion Evolution in Online Collective Behaviour.在线集体行为中的影响与观点演变建模
PLoS One. 2016 Jun 23;11(6):e0157685. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157685. eCollection 2016.
8
The spreading of misinformation online.网上错误信息的传播。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Jan 19;113(3):554-9. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1517441113. Epub 2016 Jan 4.
9
Improving Collective Estimations Using Resistance to Social Influence.利用对社会影响的抵抗力改进集体估计。
PLoS Comput Biol. 2015 Nov 13;11(11):e1004594. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004594. eCollection 2015 Nov.
10
Opinion Formation by Social Influence: From Experiments to Modeling.社会影响下的观点形成:从实验到建模
PLoS One. 2015 Oct 30;10(10):e0140406. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0140406. eCollection 2015.

错误的社会信息对人类群体中集体智慧的影响。

The impact of incorrect social information on collective wisdom in human groups.

作者信息

Jayles Bertrand, Escobedo Ramón, Cezera Stéphane, Blanchet Adrien, Kameda Tatsuya, Sire Clément, Theraulaz Guy

机构信息

Laboratoire de Physique Théorique, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Toulouse - Paul Sabatier (UPS), Toulouse, France.

Centre de Recherches sur la Cognition Animal-Centre de Biologie Intégrative, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Toulouse - Paul Sabatier (UPS), Toulouse, France.

出版信息

J R Soc Interface. 2020 Sep;17(170):20200496. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2020.0496. Epub 2020 Sep 9.

DOI:10.1098/rsif.2020.0496
PMID:32900307
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7536058/
Abstract

A major problem resulting from the massive use of social media is the potential spread of incorrect information. Yet, very few studies have investigated the impact of incorrect information on individual and collective decisions. We performed experiments in which participants had to estimate a series of quantities, before and after receiving social information. Unbeknownst to them, we controlled the degree of inaccuracy of the social information through 'virtual influencers', who provided some incorrect information. We find that a large proportion of individuals only partially follow the social information, thus resisting incorrect information. Moreover, incorrect information can help improve group performance more than correct information, when going against a human underestimation bias. We then design a computational model whose predictions are in good agreement with the empirical data, and sheds light on the mechanisms underlying our results. Besides these main findings, we demonstrate that the dispersion of estimates varies a lot between quantities, and must thus be considered when normalizing and aggregating estimates of quantities that are very different in nature. Overall, our results suggest that incorrect information does not necessarily impair the collective wisdom of groups, and can even be used to dampen the negative effects of known cognitive biases.

摘要

大量使用社交媒体所导致的一个主要问题是错误信息可能会传播开来。然而,很少有研究调查错误信息对个人和集体决策的影响。我们进行了一些实验,让参与者在接收社会信息之前和之后估计一系列数量。在他们不知情的情况下,我们通过“虚拟影响者”控制社会信息的不准确程度,这些“虚拟影响者”提供了一些错误信息。我们发现,很大一部分人只是部分地遵循社会信息,从而抵制错误信息。此外,当与人类的低估偏差相悖时,错误信息比正确信息更有助于提高群体表现。然后我们设计了一个计算模型,其预测结果与实证数据高度吻合,并揭示了我们研究结果背后的机制。除了这些主要发现,我们还证明了估计值的离散程度在不同数量之间差异很大,因此在对本质上非常不同的数量估计进行归一化和汇总时必须加以考虑。总体而言,我们的结果表明,错误信息不一定会损害群体的集体智慧,甚至可以用来减轻已知认知偏差的负面影响。