Jayles Bertrand, Escobedo Ramón, Cezera Stéphane, Blanchet Adrien, Kameda Tatsuya, Sire Clément, Theraulaz Guy
Laboratoire de Physique Théorique, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Toulouse - Paul Sabatier (UPS), Toulouse, France.
Centre de Recherches sur la Cognition Animal-Centre de Biologie Intégrative, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Toulouse - Paul Sabatier (UPS), Toulouse, France.
J R Soc Interface. 2020 Sep;17(170):20200496. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2020.0496. Epub 2020 Sep 9.
A major problem resulting from the massive use of social media is the potential spread of incorrect information. Yet, very few studies have investigated the impact of incorrect information on individual and collective decisions. We performed experiments in which participants had to estimate a series of quantities, before and after receiving social information. Unbeknownst to them, we controlled the degree of inaccuracy of the social information through 'virtual influencers', who provided some incorrect information. We find that a large proportion of individuals only partially follow the social information, thus resisting incorrect information. Moreover, incorrect information can help improve group performance more than correct information, when going against a human underestimation bias. We then design a computational model whose predictions are in good agreement with the empirical data, and sheds light on the mechanisms underlying our results. Besides these main findings, we demonstrate that the dispersion of estimates varies a lot between quantities, and must thus be considered when normalizing and aggregating estimates of quantities that are very different in nature. Overall, our results suggest that incorrect information does not necessarily impair the collective wisdom of groups, and can even be used to dampen the negative effects of known cognitive biases.
大量使用社交媒体所导致的一个主要问题是错误信息可能会传播开来。然而,很少有研究调查错误信息对个人和集体决策的影响。我们进行了一些实验,让参与者在接收社会信息之前和之后估计一系列数量。在他们不知情的情况下,我们通过“虚拟影响者”控制社会信息的不准确程度,这些“虚拟影响者”提供了一些错误信息。我们发现,很大一部分人只是部分地遵循社会信息,从而抵制错误信息。此外,当与人类的低估偏差相悖时,错误信息比正确信息更有助于提高群体表现。然后我们设计了一个计算模型,其预测结果与实证数据高度吻合,并揭示了我们研究结果背后的机制。除了这些主要发现,我们还证明了估计值的离散程度在不同数量之间差异很大,因此在对本质上非常不同的数量估计进行归一化和汇总时必须加以考虑。总体而言,我们的结果表明,错误信息不一定会损害群体的集体智慧,甚至可以用来减轻已知认知偏差的负面影响。