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中国近海表面变暖的再加速及其对东亚-太平洋气候的年代际影响。

Surface warming reacceleration in offshore China and its interdecadal effects on the East Asia-Pacific climate.

机构信息

Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China.

University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Sep 9;10(1):14811. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-71862-6.

Abstract

Since the late 1970s, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have exhibited greater responses to global warming in the offshore area of China and adjacent seas (offshore China) than in the global ocean. This study identified a surface warming reacceleration in offshore China since 2011, following a well-known interdecadal shift from offshore surface warming to cooling in 1998. During the warming reacceleration period, the rate of increase in offshore China SSTs was twice the mean rate of global ocean surface warming, and the significantly warming area was primarily in the north, especially in the East China Sea. Concurrent with the ascending phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, a large area of positive sea level pressure anomalies developed over the tropical Pacific. Accordingly, the surface southerly wind anomalies contributed to the recent surface warming in offshore China, especially in the East China Sea. With greater changes in the warming rate, the spatial mode of the circulation anomalies over East Asia and the western Pacific has shifted westward and has exerted more inshore influence during the recent warming reacceleration period than during the previous periods.

摘要

自 20 世纪 70 年代末以来,中国近海及毗邻海域(近海中国)的海表温度(SST)对全球变暖的响应大于全球海洋。本研究发现,自 2011 年以来,近海中国的表面变暖出现了再加速,此前,1998 年近海表面变暖到冷却出现了一个众所周知的年代际转变。在变暖再加速期间,近海中国 SST 的增长率是全球海洋表面变暖平均速率的两倍,明显变暖的区域主要在北部,特别是在东海。与太平洋年代际振荡的上升阶段同时,热带太平洋上出现了大面积的正海表气压异常。因此,表面南风异常导致了近海中国近期的表面变暖,特别是在东海。随着变暖速率的更大变化,东亚和西太平洋的环流异常的空间模式已经向西转移,在最近的变暖再加速期间,其对近海的影响比前几个时期更大。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1280/7481234/6f8d7f516164/41598_2020_71862_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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