Park June, Chung Eunbin
East Asia National Resource Center, Elliott School of International Affairs, The George Washington University, 1957 E St NW, Suite 503, Washington, DC 20052, United States.
National Research Foundation of Korea, 25 Heolleung-ro, Seocho-gu, Seoul 06792, Republic of Korea.
World Dev. 2021 Jan;137:105198. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105198. Epub 2020 Sep 18.
How can political elites learn from the past to enhance sustainability of their leadership in a pandemic situation? In this article, we develop a theoretical framework of policy implementation that combines collaboration from public and private sectors ("Public-Private Partnership," or PPP) to efficiently deal with urgent crises such as COVID-19. We explain the role of new institutions prompted by policy failure precedence (Time 1) that at a later time period (Time 2) allow for the activation of PPPs with the aim to extend the political life of incumbent leaderships. Specifically, we examine the case of South Korea, a country in which a prior case of MERS in 2015 (Time 1) had established new policies for pandemic governance. In 2020, such policies were activated by the incumbent leadership in order to contain COVID-19 (Time 2). In particular, for swift and effective management of the pandemic, the South Korean government utilized partnerships with the private sector to exponentially increase the amount of Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) testing. We apply Policy Feedback Theory to demonstrate the political effects of failed policy precedents and how the political outcomes again shape new policies in a dynamic and cyclical manner. Empirically, we conduct a content analysis of South Korea's pharmaceutical sector in government procurement and exports of test-kits during the COVID-19 pandemic. We show that as the pandemic situation progressed, South Korea's leader, who had been in danger of plummeting support to the extent that impeachment was discussed as a viable option, drastically shifted public opinion to achieve a landslide victory in general elections in April 2020. Our findings suggest that democratic governments, aware of precedents and wary of their fate in elections, are pressured to perform well in crisis management, and thus turn to rapidly mobilizing public and private means for survival. Such means are evidenced by the case of emergency use authorization (EUA) process for test-kits, in which "leapfrogging players" - up-and-coming innovators - that contribute to turning a pandemic crisis into an opportunity for sustainable leadership and for themselves.
政治精英如何从过去吸取教训,以增强其在疫情形势下领导力的可持续性?在本文中,我们构建了一个政策实施的理论框架,该框架结合了公共部门和私营部门的合作(“公私伙伴关系”,即PPP),以有效应对诸如新冠疫情这样的紧急危机。我们解释了由政策失败先例(时间1)催生的新机构的作用,这些新机构在稍后的时间段(时间2)能够促使公私伙伴关系的启动,目的是延长现任领导层的政治寿命。具体而言,我们考察韩国的案例,该国在2015年曾发生中东呼吸综合征疫情(时间1),并据此制定了疫情治理的新政策。2020年,现任领导层启用了这些政策以遏制新冠疫情(时间2)。特别是,为了迅速有效地管理疫情,韩国政府利用与私营部门的伙伴关系大幅增加了实时聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)检测的数量。我们运用政策反馈理论来论证失败政策先例的政治影响,以及政治结果如何以动态循环的方式再次塑造新政策。在实证方面,我们对韩国制药行业在新冠疫情期间的政府采购和检测试剂盒出口进行了内容分析。我们表明,随着疫情形势的发展,韩国领导人原本面临支持率大幅下降甚至被讨论弹劾的危险,却通过大幅转变公众舆论,在2020年4月的大选中取得压倒性胜利。我们的研究结果表明,民主政府意识到先例并担心其在选举中的命运,因而在危机管理中面临着良好表现的压力,进而转向迅速动员公共和私人资源以求生存。这种情况在检测试剂盒的紧急使用授权(EUA)过程中得到体现,其中“后来居上者”——崭露头角的创新者——为将疫情危机转化为可持续领导力以及自身发展的机遇做出了贡献。