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劳动力市场政策能否降低绝望致死率?

Can Labor Market Policies Reduce Deaths of Despair?

机构信息

Division of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, United States; National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusettes, United States.

Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics, Institute for Research on Labor and Employment at the University of California, Berkeley, United States; Statistics Norway, Norway.

出版信息

J Health Econ. 2020 Dec;74:102372. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2020.102372. Epub 2020 Sep 13.

Abstract

Do minimum wages and the earned income tax credit (EITC) mitigate rising "deaths of despair?" We leverage state variation in these policies over time to estimate event study and difference-in-differences models of deaths due to drug overdose, suicide, and alcohol-related causes. Our causal models find no significant effects on drug or alcohol-related mortality, but do find significant reductions in non-drug suicides. A 10 percent minimum wage increase reduces non-drug suicides among low-educated adults by 2.7 percent, and the comparable EITC figure is 3.0 percent. Placebo tests and event-study models support our causal research design. Increasing both policies by 10 percent would likely prevent a combined total of more than 700 suicides each year.

摘要

最低工资和劳动所得税收抵免(EITC)是否能缓解“绝望致死”的现象?我们利用这些政策在各州随时间的变化,来评估药物过量、自杀和酒精相关原因导致的死亡的事件研究和差分模型。我们的因果模型发现这些政策对药物或酒精相关死亡率没有显著影响,但确实发现非药物自杀率有所降低。最低工资提高 10%,可使低教育程度成年人的非药物自杀率降低 2.7%,而可比的 EITC 数据为 3.0%。安慰剂测试和事件研究模型支持我们的因果研究设计。将这两项政策各提高 10%,每年可能会防止超过 700 人自杀。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3cd3/8403492/8017027bc976/nihms-1709400-f0001.jpg

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