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使用血清流行病学调查评估无症状 COVID-19 感染的流行率。

Prevalence of asymptomatic COVID-19 infection using a seroepidemiological survey.

机构信息

Cardiovascular Diseases Research Center, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.

School of Health, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2020 Nov 13;148:e300. doi: 10.1017/S0950268820002745.

Abstract

The prevalence of asymptomatic infection by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as a critical measure for effectiveness of mitigation strategy has been reported to be widely varied. In this study, we aimed to determine the prevalence of asymptomatic infection using serosurvey on general population. In a cross-sectional seroprevalence survey in Guilan province, Iran, the specific antibody against COVID-19 in a representative sample was detected using rapid test kits. Among 117 seropositive subjects, prevalence of asymptomatic infection was determined based on the history of symptoms during the preceding 3 months. The design-adjusted prevalence of asymptomatic infection was 57.2% (95% confidence interval (CI) 44-69). The prevalence was significantly lower in subjects with previous contacts to COVID-19 patients (12%, 95% CI 2-49) than others without (69%, 95% CI, 46-86). The lowest prevalence was for painful body symptom (74.4%). This study revealed that more than half of the infected COVID-19 patients had no symptoms. The implications of our findings include the importance of adopting public health measures such as social distancing and inefficiency of contact tracing to interrupt epidemic transmission.

摘要

新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)无症状感染的流行率被认为是评估缓解策略有效性的关键指标,其报道差异较大。本研究旨在通过对一般人群进行血清学调查来确定无症状感染的流行率。在伊朗吉兰省的一项横断面血清流行率调查中,使用快速检测试剂盒检测了具有代表性样本中针对 COVID-19 的特异性抗体。在 117 名血清阳性受试者中,根据过去 3 个月的症状史确定无症状感染的流行率。设计调整后的无症状感染流行率为 57.2%(95%置信区间 44-69)。与没有接触过 COVID-19 患者的人相比(69%,95%CI 46-86),有过接触史的人的无症状感染流行率显著较低(12%,95%CI 2-49)。症状最轻微的是身体疼痛(74.4%)。本研究表明,超过一半的 COVID-19 感染者没有症状。我们的研究结果表明,需要采取社交距离等公共卫生措施,以及效率低下的接触者追踪,以阻断疫情传播。

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