Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Faculty of Philosophy, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
PLoS One. 2020 Nov 23;15(11):e0242838. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242838. eCollection 2020.
With the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the question of society's capability to deal with an acute health crisis is, once again, brought to the forefront. In the core is the need to broaden the perspective on the determinants of a country's ability to cope with the spread of the virus. This paper is about bringing together diverse aspects of readiness and initial reaction to a COVID-19 outbreak. We proposed an integrated evaluation framework which encapsulates six dimensions of readiness and initial reaction. Using a specific multi-level outranking method, we analysed how these dimensions affect the relative positioning of European countries in the early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak. The results revealed that the order of countries based on our six-dimensional assessment framework is significantly reminiscent of the actual positioning of countries in terms of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality in the initial phase of the pandemic. Our findings confirm that only when a country's readiness is complemented by an appropriate societal reaction we can expect a less severe outcome. Moreover, our study revealed different patterns of performance between former communist Eastern European and Western European countries.
随着 COVID-19 大流行的到来,社会应对急性卫生危机的能力问题再次成为焦点。核心问题是需要拓宽对一个国家应对病毒传播能力的决定因素的看法。本文旨在综合探讨应对 COVID-19 爆发的各种准备和初步反应。我们提出了一个综合评估框架,其中包含准备和初步反应的六个维度。我们使用特定的多层次超越方法分析了这些维度如何影响欧洲国家在 COVID-19 爆发初期的相对定位。结果表明,根据我们的六维度评估框架对国家的排序与 COVID-19 发病率和死亡率在大流行初期国家的实际定位非常相似。我们的研究结果证实,只有当一个国家的准备工作得到适当的社会反应的补充时,我们才能期望出现不太严重的结果。此外,我们的研究还揭示了前共产主义东欧和西欧国家之间不同的绩效模式。