Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany;
Geoecology and Geography, KIT, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Dec 8;117(49):30882-30891. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2009584117.
Recent assessment reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) have highlighted the risks to humanity arising from the unsustainable use of natural resources. Thus far, land, freshwater, and ocean exploitation have been the chief causes of biodiversity loss. Climate change is projected to be a rapidly increasing additional driver for biodiversity loss. Since climate change and biodiversity loss impact human societies everywhere, bold solutions are required that integrate environmental and societal objectives. As yet, most existing international biodiversity targets have overlooked climate change impacts. At the same time, climate change mitigation measures themselves may harm biodiversity directly. The Convention on Biological Diversity's post-2020 framework offers the important opportunity to address the interactions between climate change and biodiversity and revise biodiversity targets accordingly by better aligning these with the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals. We identify the considerable number of existing and proposed post-2020 biodiversity targets that risk being severely compromised due to climate change, even if other barriers to their achievement were removed. Our analysis suggests that the next set of biodiversity targets explicitly addresses climate change-related risks since many aspirational goals will not be feasible under even lower-end projections of future warming. Adopting more flexible and dynamic approaches to conservation, rather than static goals, would allow us to respond flexibly to changes in habitats, genetic resources, species composition, and ecosystem functioning and leverage biodiversity's capacity to contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation.
政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)和政府间生物多样性和生态系统服务科学政策平台(IPBES)的最新评估报告强调了人类因不可持续地利用自然资源而面临的风险。到目前为止,土地、淡水和海洋的开发是生物多样性丧失的主要原因。预计气候变化将成为生物多样性丧失的一个迅速增加的额外驱动因素。由于气候变化和生物多样性丧失对各地的人类社会都有影响,因此需要采取大胆的解决方案,将环境和社会目标结合起来。然而,大多数现有的国际生物多样性目标都忽略了气候变化的影响。与此同时,气候变化缓解措施本身也可能直接对生物多样性造成危害。《生物多样性公约》2020 年后框架提供了一个重要的机会,可以解决气候变化与生物多样性之间的相互作用,并通过更好地将这些目标与《联合国气候变化框架公约》巴黎协定和可持续发展目标保持一致,相应地修订生物多样性目标。我们发现,大量现有的和拟议的 2020 年后生物多样性目标由于气候变化而面临严重风险,即使消除了实现这些目标的其他障碍。我们的分析表明,下一组生物多样性目标明确解决了与气候变化相关的风险,因为即使在未来变暖的低端预测下,许多雄心勃勃的目标也将不可行。采用更灵活和动态的保护方法,而不是静态目标,将使我们能够灵活应对生境、遗传资源、物种组成和生态系统功能的变化,并利用生物多样性在缓解和适应气候变化方面的能力。