School of Management, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China.
Institute of US and Canada Economy, Wuhan University, China; School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Mar 1;758:143688. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143688. Epub 2020 Dec 16.
Industrialization and urbanization have aggravated the contradiction between environmental protection and economic growth, leading to health issues. While there are considerable interests in understanding the health effects of carbon emissions in the context of climate change, little is observed at regional scale and by econometric methods. Applying regression analysis on 2002-2017 Chinese provincial-level panel data, this study explores the intermediary mechanisms and regional differences of carbon emissions on residents' health. The results indicate that: (1) Carbon emissions have a long-term adverse impact on residents' health-a 1% rise in carbon emission adds 0.298% more outpatients and 0.162% more inpatients; (2) The rise in carbon emissions impairs residents' health mainly by raising the temperature; (3) In areas with high levels of industrialization and urbanization, increased carbon emissions bring greater health risks; and (4) In terms of China's unique "leading industrialization and lagging urbanization" situation, only by upgrading industrial structure, improving urbanization quality, and promoting coordinated industrialization and urbanization can the harm of carbon emissions to residents' health be reduced. Therefore, the "one-size-fits-all" policy model is not suitable for China's current situation. To address global "climate change" issues, China must act according to local conditions by applying mitigating (adaptive) measures in economically developed (less developed) regions. Simultaneously, the authorities must focus on the interaction and synergy between industrialization and urbanization.
工业化和城市化加剧了环境保护与经济增长之间的矛盾,导致了健康问题。虽然人们对气候变化背景下碳排放对健康的影响有很大的兴趣,但在区域层面上,通过计量经济学方法来观察到的却很少。本研究应用回归分析方法,利用 2002-2017 年中国省级面板数据,探讨了碳排放对居民健康的中介机制和区域差异。结果表明:(1)碳排放对居民健康有长期的不利影响——碳排放增加 1%,门诊病人增加 0.298%,住院病人增加 0.162%;(2)碳排放通过提高温度损害居民健康;(3)在工业化和城市化水平较高的地区,碳排放的增加带来了更大的健康风险;(4)在中国独特的“工业化领先、城市化滞后”的情况下,只有通过升级产业结构、提高城市化质量、促进工业化和城市化协调发展,才能降低碳排放对居民健康的危害。因此,“一刀切”的政策模式不适合中国当前的情况。为了解决全球“气候变化”问题,中国必须根据当地情况采取缓解(适应)措施,在经济发达(欠发达)地区实施。同时,有关部门必须注重工业化和城市化之间的相互作用和协同作用。