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年龄、性别、合并症及临床症状对新型冠状病毒肺炎病例严重程度的影响:一项纳入55项研究及10014例病例的荟萃分析

Impact of age, sex, comorbidities and clinical symptoms on the severity of COVID-19 cases: A meta-analysis with 55 studies and 10014 cases.

作者信息

Barek Md Abdul, Aziz Md Abdul, Islam Mohammad Safiqul

机构信息

Department of Pharmacy, Noakhali Science and Technology University, Noakhali, 3814, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2020 Dec;6(12):e05684. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e05684. Epub 2020 Dec 15.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e05684
PMID:33344791
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7737518/
Abstract

PURPOSE

Severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cases are overgrowing globally and now become a pandemic. A meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the impact of age, sex, comorbidities, and clinical characteristics on the severity of COVID-19 to help diagnose and evaluate the current outbreak in clinical decision-making.

METHODS

PubMed, ScienceDirect, and BMC were searched to collect data about demographic, clinical characteristics, and comorbidities of COVID-19 patients. Meta-analysis was conducted with Review Manager 5.3. Publication bias was assessed using Egger's test and Begg-Mazumdar's rank correlation.

RESULTS

Fifty-five studies were included in this meta-analysis, including 10014 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Male cases and cases with an age of ≥50 years (OR = 2.41, p < 0.00001; RR = 3.36, p = 0.0002, respectively) were severely affected by SARS-CoV-2. Patients having age≥65 years are not associated (p = 0.110) with the severity of COVID-19. Presence of at least one comorbidity or hypertension, diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular diseases, respiratory disease, malignancy, chronic kidney disease and chronic liver diseases individually increased the severity of COVID-19 cases significantly (OR = 3.13, p < 0.00001; OR = 2.35, p < 0.00001; OR = 2.42, p < 0.00001; OR = 3.78, p < 0.00001; OR = 3.33, p < 0.00001; OR = 2.58, p < 0.00001; OR = 2.32, p < 0.00001; OR = 2.27, p = 0.0007; OR = 1.70, p = 0.003, respectively). Clinical manifestation such as fever, cough, fatigue, anorexia, dyspnea, chest tightness, hemoptysis, diarrhea and abdominal pain (OR = 1.68, p = 0.0001; OR = 1.41, p = 0.004; OR = 1.26, p = 0.03; OR = 2.38, p < 0.0001; OR = 4.30, p < 0.00001; OR = 2.11, p = 0.002; OR = 4.93, p < 0.0001; OR = 1.35, p = 0.03; OR = 2.38, p = 0.008, respectively) were significantly associated with the severity of cases. No association of severity was found with myalgia, pharyngalgia, nausea, vomiting, headache, dizziness and sore throat (p > 0.05). No publication bias was found in case of age (≥50 years, age≥65 years), comorbidities and clinical manifestations.

CONCLUSIONS

Males patients and elderly or older patients (age ≥50 years) are at higher risk of developing severity, whereas comorbidities and clinical manifestations could significantly affect the prognosis and severity of COVID-19.

摘要

目的

严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)病例在全球范围内不断增加,现已成为大流行病。进行了一项荟萃分析,以评估年龄、性别、合并症和临床特征对2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)严重程度的影响,以帮助在临床决策中诊断和评估当前疫情。

方法

检索PubMed、ScienceDirect和BMC,收集有关COVID-19患者的人口统计学、临床特征和合并症的数据。使用Review Manager 5.3进行荟萃分析。使用Egger检验和Begg-Mazumdar秩相关评估发表偏倚。

结果

本荟萃分析纳入了55项研究,包括10014例SARS-CoV-2感染患者。男性病例和年龄≥50岁的病例(优势比[OR]=2.41,p<0.00001;风险比[RR]=3.36,p=0.0002)受SARS-CoV-2影响严重。年龄≥65岁的患者与COVID-19的严重程度无关(p=0.110)。至少有一种合并症或高血压、糖尿病、脑血管疾病、心血管疾病、呼吸系统疾病、恶性肿瘤、慢性肾脏病和慢性肝病单独显著增加了COVID-19病例的严重程度(OR分别为3.13,p<0.00001;2.35,p<0.000o1;2.42,p<0.00001;3.78,p<0.00001;3.33,p<0.00001;2.58,p<0.00001;2.32,p<0.00001;2.27,p=0.0007;1.70,p=0.003)。发热、咳嗽、疲劳、厌食、呼吸困难、胸闷、咯血、腹泻和腹痛等临床表现(OR分别为1.68,p=0.0001;1.41,p=0.004;1.26,p=0.03;2.38,p<0.0001;4.30,p<0.00001;2.11,p=0.002;4.93,p<0.0001;1.35,p=0.03;2.38,p=0.008)与病例的严重程度显著相关。未发现肌痛、咽痛、恶心、呕吐、头痛、头晕和咽痛与严重程度有关(p>0.05)。在年龄(≥50岁、≥65岁)、合并症和临床表现方面未发现发表偏倚。

结论

男性患者和老年患者(年龄≥50岁)发生重症的风险较高,而合并症和临床表现可显著影响COVID-19的预后和严重程度。

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