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德国和中国的新冠肺炎疫情:缓解策略与消除策略。

COVID-19 in Germany and China: mitigation versus elimination strategy.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Medical College, Yangzhou University , Yangzhou, China.

Department of Epidemiology & International Public Health, School of Public Health, Bielefeld University , Bielefeld, Germany.

出版信息

Glob Health Action. 2021 Jan 1;14(1):1875601. doi: 10.1080/16549716.2021.1875601.

Abstract

: The COVID-19 pandemic shows variable dynamics in WHO Regions, with lowest disease burden in the Western-Pacific Region. While China has been able to rapidly eliminate transmission of SARS-CoV-2, Germany - as well as most of Europe and the Americas - is struggling with high numbers of cases and deaths. : We analyse COVID-19 epidemiology and control strategies in China and in Germany, two countries which have chosen profoundly different approaches to deal with the epidemic. : In this narrative review, we searched the literature from 1 December 2019, to 4 December 2020. : China and several neighbours (e.g. Australia, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Thailand) have achieved COVID-19 elimination or sustained low case numbers. This can be attributed to: (1) experience with previous coronavirus outbreaks; (2) classification of SARS-CoV-2 in the highest risk category and consequent early employment of aggressive control measures; (3) mandatory isolation of cases and contacts in institutions; (4) broad employment of modern contact tracking technology; (5) travel restrictions to prevent SARS-CoV-2 re-importation; (6) cohesive communities with varying levels of social control. : Early implementation of intense and sustained control measures is key to achieving a near normal social and economic life.

摘要

: 新冠疫情在世界卫生组织各区域表现出不同的动态,西太平洋区域的疾病负担最低。虽然中国能够迅速消除 SARS-CoV-2 的传播,但德国——以及欧洲和美洲的大部分地区——正面临着大量病例和死亡的困扰。: 我们分析了中国和德国的新冠疫情流行病学和控制策略,这两个国家选择了截然不同的方法来应对疫情。: 在这篇叙述性评论中,我们检索了 2019 年 12 月 1 日至 2020 年 12 月 4 日的文献。: 中国和几个邻国(如澳大利亚、日本、韩国、新西兰、泰国)已经实现了新冠疫情的消除或持续低病例数。这可以归因于:(1) 以前冠状病毒爆发的经验;(2) 将 SARS-CoV-2 归类为最高风险类别,并因此早期采取积极的控制措施;(3) 对病例和接触者进行机构隔离;(4) 广泛使用现代接触追踪技术;(5) 旅行限制以防止 SARS-CoV-2 的再次输入;(6) 具有不同程度社会控制的凝聚力社区。: 早期实施高强度和持续的控制措施是实现近乎正常的社会和经济生活的关键。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2b96/7833051/42e137cee38d/ZGHA_A_1875601_F0001_OC.jpg

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