Black-Box Optimization for Automated Discovery.

In chemistry and materials science, researchers and engineers discover, design, and optimize chemical compounds or materials with their professional knowledge and techniques. At the highest level of abstraction, this process is formulated as black-box optimization. For instance, the trial-and-error process of synthesizing various molecules for better material properties can be regarded as optimizing a black-box function describing the relation between a chemical formula and its properties. Various black-box optimization algorithms have been developed in the machine learning and statistics communities. Recently, a number of researchers have reported successful applications of such algorithms to chemistry. They include the design of photofunctional molecules and medical drugs, optimization of thermal emission materials and high Li-ion conductive solid electrolytes, and discovery of a new phase in inorganic thin films for solar cells.There are a wide variety of algorithms available for black-box optimization, such as Bayesian optimization, reinforcement learning, and active learning. Practitioners need to select an appropriate algorithm or, in some cases, develop novel algorithms to meet their demands. It is also necessary to determine how to best combine machine learning techniques with quantum mechanics- and molecular mechanics-based simulations, and experiments. In this Account, we give an overview of recent studies regarding automated discovery, design, and optimization based on black-box optimization. The Account covers the following algorithms: Bayesian optimization to optimize the chemical or physical properties, an optimization method using a quantum annealer, best-arm identification, gray-box optimization, and reinforcement learning. In addition, we introduce active learning and boundless objective-free exploration, which may not fall into the category of black-box optimization.Data quality and quantity are key for the success of these automated discovery techniques. As laboratory automation and robotics are put forward, automated discovery algorithms would be able to match human performance at least in some domains in the near future.