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迈向基于半自动化的虫媒传染病预警系统。

Towards a Semi-Automatic Early Warning System for Vector-Borne Diseases.

机构信息

Bioapplications Ltd., 30 Ioannou Perganta Str., 32100 Levadia, Greece.

Laboratory of Agricultural Zoology and Entomology, Department of Crop Science, Agricultural University of Athens, 75 Iera Odos Str., 11855 Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Feb 13;18(4):1823. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18041823.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph18041823
PMID:33668472
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7918487/
Abstract

The emergence and spread of vector-borne diseases (VBDs) is a function of biotic, abiotic and socio-economic drivers of disease while their economic and societal burden depends upon a number of time-varying factors. This work is concerned with the development of an early warning system that can act as a predictive tool for public health preparedness and response. We employ a host-vector model that combines entomological (mosquito data), social (immigration rate, demographic data), environmental (temperature) and geographical data (risk areas). The output consists of appropriate maps depicting suitable risk measures such as the basic reproduction number, , and the probability of getting infected by the disease. These tools consist of the backbone of a semi-automatic early warning system tool which can potentially aid the monitoring and control of VBDs in different settings. In addition, it can be used for optimizing the cost-effectiveness of distinct control measures and the integration of open geospatial and climatological data. The R code used to generate the risk indicators and the corresponding spatial maps along with the data is made available.

摘要

虫媒传染病(VBD)的出现和传播是疾病的生物、非生物和社会经济驱动因素的函数,而其经济和社会负担取决于许多时变因素。这项工作涉及开发一种预警系统,该系统可以作为公共卫生准备和应对的预测工具。我们采用了一种宿主-媒介模型,该模型结合了昆虫学(蚊子数据)、社会(移民率、人口数据)、环境(温度)和地理数据(风险区域)。输出包括适当的地图,描绘了适当的风险指标,如基本繁殖数 ,和感染疾病的概率。这些工具构成了半自动预警系统工具的骨干,该工具可潜在地帮助监测和控制不同环境下的 VBD。此外,它可用于优化不同控制措施的成本效益,并整合开放的地理空间和气候数据。生成风险指标和相应空间地图的 R 代码以及相关数据都可提供。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/6021c0399f95/ijerph-18-01823-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/22d5611187a2/ijerph-18-01823-g0A1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/58f300cde0d5/ijerph-18-01823-g0A2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/bcb4f8bf13e7/ijerph-18-01823-g0A3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/3d2aada88171/ijerph-18-01823-g0A4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/da6745aef0ae/ijerph-18-01823-g0A5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/15bf66027117/ijerph-18-01823-g0A6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/89023964e627/ijerph-18-01823-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/9277070a5af9/ijerph-18-01823-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/0c5588665376/ijerph-18-01823-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/d3b9b40d4379/ijerph-18-01823-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/6021c0399f95/ijerph-18-01823-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/22d5611187a2/ijerph-18-01823-g0A1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/58f300cde0d5/ijerph-18-01823-g0A2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/bcb4f8bf13e7/ijerph-18-01823-g0A3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/3d2aada88171/ijerph-18-01823-g0A4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/da6745aef0ae/ijerph-18-01823-g0A5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/15bf66027117/ijerph-18-01823-g0A6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/89023964e627/ijerph-18-01823-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/9277070a5af9/ijerph-18-01823-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/0c5588665376/ijerph-18-01823-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/d3b9b40d4379/ijerph-18-01823-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c087/7918487/6021c0399f95/ijerph-18-01823-g005.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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