Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, United States.
School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Mexico.
Econ Hum Biol. 2021 May;41:100991. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2021.100991. Epub 2021 Mar 17.
This paper considers whether the COVID-19 stay-at-home order affected crimes targeting women. To answer this question, we use national municipal-level crime data from Mexico's National Public Security System. The NPSS reports sexual crimes, lapses in alimony, domestic violence, and femicides. Using the NPSS, we track monthly changes in crimes targeting women using an event-study design. Our results show that lapses in alimony, sexual crimes, and domestic violence follow a U-shaped trend. Each crime declined during the stay-at-home order, and then rose back to pre-COVID levels by October. Then, we analyze potential mechanisms for the reduction in crimes against women. We find that infection risk, victim-criminal match, and banning the sale of alcohol are related to higher declines in crime.
本文探讨了 COVID-19 居家令是否对针对女性的犯罪产生了影响。为了回答这个问题，我们使用了墨西哥国家公共安全系统的全国市级犯罪数据。NPSS 报告了性犯罪、赡养费拖欠、家庭暴力和杀害妇女案件。我们利用 NPSS，通过事件研究设计追踪针对女性的犯罪的月度变化。我们的结果表明，赡养费拖欠、性犯罪和家庭暴力呈 U 型趋势。每项犯罪在居家令期间都有所下降，然后到 10 月又回升到 COVID 前的水平。然后，我们分析了导致针对妇女犯罪减少的潜在机制。我们发现感染风险、受害者与罪犯的匹配程度和禁止销售酒类与犯罪下降幅度更大有关。
