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新冠疫情背景下的全球经济危机、能源使用、碳排放及政策路线图

Global economic crisis, energy use, CO emissions, and policy roadmap amid COVID-19.

作者信息

Aktar Most Asikha, Alam Md Mahmudul, Al-Amin Abul Quasem

机构信息

Department of Economics, Comilla University, Cumilla, Bangladesh.

School of Economics, Finance & Banking, Universiti Utara Malaysia, Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia.

出版信息

Sustain Prod Consum. 2021 Apr;26:770-781. doi: 10.1016/j.spc.2020.12.029. Epub 2020 Dec 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.spc.2020.12.029
PMID:33786357
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7994925/
Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has emerged as one of the deadliest infectious diseases on the planet. Millions of people and businesses have been placed in lockdown where the main aim is to stop the spread of the virus. As an extreme phenomenon, the lockdown has triggered a global economic shock at an alarming pace, conveying sharp recessions for many countries. In the meantime, the lockdowns caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have drastically changed energy consumption patterns and reduced CO emissions throughout the world. Recent data released by the International Monetary Fund and International Energy Agency for 2020 further forecast that emissions will rebound in 2021. Still, the full impact of COVID-19 in terms of how long the crisis will be and how the consumption pattern of energy and the associated levels of CO emissions will be affected are unclear. This review aims to steer policymakers and governments of nations toward a better direction by providing a broad and convincing overview on the observed and likely impacts of the pandemic of COVID-19 on the world economy, world energy demand, and world energy-related CO emissions that may well emerge in the next few years. Indeed, given that immediate policy responses are required with equal urgency to address three things-pandemic, economic downturn, and climate crisis. This study outlines policy suggestions that can be used during these uncertain times as a guide.

摘要

新冠疫情已成为全球最致命的传染病之一。数百万人和众多企业被迫进入封锁状态,其主要目的是阻止病毒传播。作为一种极端现象,封锁以惊人的速度引发了全球经济冲击,许多国家都陷入了严重衰退。与此同时,新冠疫情导致的封锁极大地改变了全球能源消费模式,减少了碳排放。国际货币基金组织和国际能源署近期发布的2020年数据进一步预测,排放量将在2021年反弹。然而,新冠疫情在危机将持续多久以及能源消费模式和相关碳排放水平将受到何种影响方面的全面影响仍不明确。本综述旨在通过全面且有说服力地概述新冠疫情对世界经济、世界能源需求以及未来几年可能出现的与世界能源相关的碳排放的已观察到的和可能产生的影响,引导各国政策制定者和政府朝着更好的方向发展。事实上,鉴于需要立即以同样的紧迫性采取政策应对措施来解决三件事——疫情、经济衰退和气候危机。本研究概述了在这些不确定时期可作为指导的政策建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/4907649ec91f/gr7_lrg.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/bd8225230060/fx1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/9db082f2003e/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/93e0738cd94b/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/78c8f18077dc/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/a9e0de36a566/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9473/7994925/891b89807d7d/gr5_lrg.jpg
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