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伊朗的 SARS-CoV-2 疫情爆发:疫情的动态和两个独立传入的证据。

SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Iran: The dynamics of the epidemic and evidence on two independent introductions.

机构信息

Genetics Research Center, University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Kariminejad-Najmabadi Pathology & Genetics Center, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Transbound Emerg Dis. 2022 May;69(3):1375-1386. doi: 10.1111/tbed.14104. Epub 2021 May 22.

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 virus has been rapidly spreading globally since December 2019, triggering a pandemic, soon after its emergence. While Iran was among the first countries confronted with rapid spread of virus in February 2020, no real-time SARS-CoV-2 whole-genome tracking in early phase of outbreak was performed in the country. To address this issue, we provided 50 whole-genome sequences of viral isolates ascertained from different geographical locations in Iran during March-July 2020. The corresponding analysis on origins, transmission dynamics and genetic diversity of SARS-CoV-2 virus, represented at least two introductions of the virus into the country, constructing two major clusters defined as B.4 and B.1*. The first entry of the virus might have occurred around very late 2019/early 2020, as suggested by the time to the most recent common ancestor, followed by a rapid community transmission that led to dominancy of B.4 lineage in early epidemic till the end of June. Gradually, reduction in dominancy of B.4 occurred possibly as a result of other entries of the virus, followed by surge of B.1* lineages, as of mid-May. Remarkably, variation tracking of the virus indicated the increase in frequency of D614G mutation, along with B.1* lineages, which showed continuity till October 2020. The increase in frequency of D614G mutation and B.1* lineages from mid-May onwards predicts a rapid viral transmission that may push the country into a critical health situation followed by a considerable change in composition of viral lineages circulating in the country.

摘要

自 2019 年 12 月以来,SARS-CoV-2 病毒在全球迅速传播,引发了大流行。虽然伊朗是 2020 年 2 月第一批面临病毒快速传播的国家之一,但在疫情早期,该国并未对 SARS-CoV-2 进行实时全基因组追踪。为了解决这个问题,我们提供了 50 株病毒分离株的全基因组序列,这些病毒分离株是在 2020 年 3 月至 7 月期间从伊朗不同地理位置确定的。对 SARS-CoV-2 病毒的起源、传播动态和遗传多样性的相应分析表明,该病毒至少有两次传入该国,构成了两个主要的聚类,分别定义为 B.4 和 B.1*。病毒的第一次传入可能发生在 2019 年底/2020 年初,这是由最近共同祖先的时间所提示的,随后是快速的社区传播,导致 B.4 谱系在早期流行中占主导地位,直到 6 月底。随着其他病毒的传入,B.4 的主导地位逐渐下降,随后 B.1谱系在 5 月中旬激增。值得注意的是,病毒的变异跟踪表明,D614G 突变的频率增加,伴随着 B.1谱系的出现,这种情况一直持续到 2020 年 10 月。5 月中旬以来,D614G 突变和 B.1*谱系频率的增加预示着病毒的快速传播,这可能使该国陷入严重的健康状况,随后该国流行的病毒谱系组成将发生相当大的变化。

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