Maréchaux Isabelle, Langerwisch Fanny, Huth Andreas, Bugmann Harald, Morin Xavier, Reyer Christopher P O, Seidl Rupert, Collalti Alessio, Dantas de Paula Mateus, Fischer Rico, Gutsch Martin, Lexer Manfred J, Lischke Heike, Rammig Anja, Rödig Edna, Sakschewski Boris, Taubert Franziska, Thonicke Kirsten, Vacchiano Giorgio, Bohn Friedrich J
INRAE CIRAD CNRS AMAP Univ Montpellier Montpellier France.
Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences Palacký University Olomouc Olomouc Czech Republic.
Ecol Evol. 2021 Mar 30;11(9):3746-3770. doi: 10.1002/ece3.7391. eCollection 2021 May.
Understanding the processes that shape forest functioning, structure, and diversity remains challenging, although data on forest systems are being collected at a rapid pace and across scales. Forest models have a long history in bridging data with ecological knowledge and can simulate forest dynamics over spatio-temporal scales unreachable by most empirical investigations.We describe the development that different forest modelling communities have followed to underpin the leverage that simulation models offer for advancing our understanding of forest ecosystems.Using three widely applied but contrasting approaches - species distribution models, individual-based forest models, and dynamic global vegetation models - as examples, we show how scientific and technical advances have led models to transgress their initial objectives and limitations. We provide an overview of recent model applications on current important ecological topics and pinpoint ten key questions that could, and should, be tackled with forest models in the next decade.Synthesis. This overview shows that forest models, due to their complementarity and mutual enrichment, represent an invaluable toolkit to address a wide range of fundamental and applied ecological questions, hence fostering a deeper understanding of forest dynamics in the context of global change.
尽管目前正以较快的速度且在不同尺度上收集森林系统的数据,但理解塑造森林功能、结构和多样性的过程仍然具有挑战性。森林模型在将数据与生态知识相联系方面有着悠久的历史,并且能够模拟大多数实证研究难以企及的时空尺度上的森林动态。我们描述了不同森林建模群体为支持模拟模型在推进我们对森林生态系统理解方面所提供的作用而遵循的发展历程。以三种广泛应用但截然不同的方法——物种分布模型、基于个体的森林模型和动态全球植被模型——为例,我们展示了科学技术的进步是如何使模型超越其最初目标和局限性的。我们概述了近期模型在当前重要生态主题上的应用,并指出了未来十年可以且应该用森林模型解决的十个关键问题。综述。本综述表明,由于森林模型的互补性和相互丰富性,它们是解决广泛的基础和应用生态问题的宝贵工具,从而有助于在全球变化背景下更深入地理解森林动态。