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COVID-19 感染住院患者院内死亡率的流行情况和预测因素。

Prevalence and predictors of in-hospital mortality of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 infection.

机构信息

Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Royal Hospital, Ministry of Health, Muscat Oman.

Director Research & Innovation Centre, King Saud Medical City, Ministry of Health & College of Medicine, Al Faisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

J Infect Public Health. 2021 Jun;14(6):759-765. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2021.03.016. Epub 2021 Apr 18.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The severity and mortality from COVID-19 infection vary among populations. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and predictors of mortality among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 infection in a tertiary care hospital in Oman.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study using database that included: demographic, clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, medications and clinical outcomes of all patients hospitalized in Royal Hospital, Muscat, Oman, between March 12, 2020 and December 1st 2020. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was performed to investigate the relationship between each variable and the risk of death of COVID-19 infected patients.

RESULTS

In total,1002 patients with COVID-19 infection with mean age of the cohort was 54±16 years (65% (n=650) male) were included, with an overall and intensive care unit (ICU) mortalities of 26% (n=257) and 42% (n=199/473), respectively. The prevalence of ICU admission was 47% (n=473) and the need for mechanical ventilation was 41% (n=413). The overall length of stay in the ICU was 13 (9-21) days. Adjusting for other factors in the model, the multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that in-hospital mortality in admitted COVID-19 patients was associated with old age (p<0.001), heart diseases (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.84; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11-3.03; p=0.018), liver diseases (aOR, 4.48; 95% CI: 1.04-19.3; p=0.044), those with higher ferritin levels (aOR, 1.00; 95% CI: 1.00-1.00; p=0.006), acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (aOR, 3.20; 95% CI: 1.65-6.18; p=0.001), sepsis (aOR, 1.77; 95% CI: 1.12-2.80; p=0.022), and those that had ICU admission (aOR, 2.22; 95% CI: 1.12-4.38; p=0.022).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort, mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients was high and was associated with advanced age, heart diseases, liver disease, high ferritin, ARDS, sepsis and ICU admission. These high-risk groups should be prioritized for COVID-19 vaccinations.

摘要

背景

COVID-19 感染的严重程度和死亡率在不同人群中有所不同。本研究的目的是确定阿曼一家三级护理医院 COVID-19 感染住院患者的死亡率的患病率和预测因素。

方法

我们使用数据库进行了一项回顾性研究,该数据库包括:2020 年 3 月 12 日至 2020 年 12 月 1 日期间在阿曼马斯喀特皇家医院住院的所有患者的人口统计学、临床特征、实验室参数、药物和临床结局。使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归来研究每个变量与 COVID-19 感染患者死亡风险之间的关系。

结果

总共纳入了 1002 例 COVID-19 感染患者,平均年龄为 54±16 岁(65%(n=650)为男性),总死亡率和重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率分别为 26%(n=257)和 42%(n=199/473)。ICU 入院率为 47%(n=473),机械通气需求率为 41%(n=413)。ICU 总住院时间为 13(9-21)天。在模型中调整其他因素后,多变量逻辑回归表明,住院 COVID-19 患者的院内死亡率与年龄较大(p<0.001)、心脏病(调整后的优势比(aOR),1.84;95%置信区间(CI):1.11-3.03;p=0.018)、肝病(aOR,4.48;95%CI:1.04-19.3;p=0.044)、较高的铁蛋白水平(aOR,1.00;95%CI:1.00-1.00;p=0.006)、急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)(aOR,3.20;95%CI:1.65-6.18;p=0.001)、败血症(aOR,1.77;95%CI:1.12-2.80;p=0.022)和 ICU 入院(aOR,2.22;95%CI:1.12-4.38;p=0.022)相关。

结论

在本队列中,住院 COVID-19 患者的死亡率较高,与年龄较大、心脏病、肝病、高铁蛋白血症、ARDS、败血症和 ICU 入院有关。这些高风险群体应优先接种 COVID-19 疫苗。

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