Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.
Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Severe Hepato-Pancreatic Diseases of Zhejiang Province, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.
Cancer Med. 2021 Jul;10(14):4768-4780. doi: 10.1002/cam4.4035. Epub 2021 Jun 8.
To explore the prognostic value of the fibrinogen-albumin ratio (FAR) combined with sarcopenia in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients after surgery and to develop a nomogram for predicting the survival of ICC patients.
In this prospective cohort study, 116 ICC patients who underwent radical surgery were enrolled as the discovery cohort and another independent cohort of 68 ICC patients was used as the validation cohort. Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze prognosis. The independent predictor of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was evaluated by univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses, then developing nomograms. The performance of nomograms was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (ROC), and decision curve analysis (DCA).
Patients with high FAR had lower OS and RFS. FAR and sarcopenia were effective predictors of OS and RFS. Patients with high FAR and sarcopenia had a poorer prognosis than other patients. OS nomogram was constructed based on age, FAR, and sarcopenia. RFS nomogram was constructed based on FAR and sarcopenia. C-index for the nomograms of OS and RFS was 0.713 and 0.686. Calibration curves revealed great consistency between actual survival and nomogram prediction. The area under ROC curve (AUC) for the nomograms of OS and RFS was 0.796 and 0.791 in the discovery cohort, 0.823 and 0.726 in the validation cohort. The clinical value of nomograms was confirmed by the DCA.
ICC patients with high FAR and sarcopenia had a poor prognosis, the nomograms developed based on these two factors were accurate and clinically useful in ICC patients who underwent radical resection.
探讨纤维蛋白原-白蛋白比值(FAR)联合肌少症对肝内胆管癌(ICC)患者术后的预后价值,并建立预测 ICC 患者生存的列线图。
本前瞻性队列研究纳入了 116 例接受根治性手术的 ICC 患者作为发现队列,另一个独立的 68 例 ICC 患者队列作为验证队列。采用 Kaplan-Meier 法进行生存分析。采用单变量和多变量 Cox 回归分析评估总生存(OS)和无复发生存(RFS)的独立预测因素,然后构建列线图。通过一致性指数(C-index)、校准曲线、受试者工作特征曲线分析(ROC)和决策曲线分析(DCA)评估列线图的性能。
FAR 较高的患者 OS 和 RFS 较低。FAR 和肌少症是 OS 和 RFS 的有效预测因素。FAR 和肌少症较高的患者预后较其他患者差。基于年龄、FAR 和肌少症构建了 OS 列线图。基于 FAR 和肌少症构建了 RFS 列线图。OS 和 RFS 列线图的 C-index 分别为 0.713 和 0.686。校准曲线显示实际生存与列线图预测之间具有很好的一致性。OS 和 RFS 列线图的 ROC 曲线下面积(AUC)在发现队列中分别为 0.796 和 0.791,在验证队列中分别为 0.823 和 0.726。DCA 证实了列线图的临床价值。
FAR 和肌少症较高的 ICC 患者预后较差,基于这两个因素建立的列线图在接受根治性切除术的 ICC 患者中具有较高的准确性和临床实用性。