Su Jason G, Barrett Meredith A, Combs Veronica, Henderson Kelly, Van Sickle David, Hogg Chris, Simrall Grace, Moyer Sarah S, Tarini Paul, Wojcik Oktawia, Sublett James, Smith Ted, Renda Andrew M, Balmes John, Gondalia Rahul, Kaye Leanne, Jerrett Michael
Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Propeller Health, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Int J Epidemiol. 2022 Feb 18;51(1):213-224. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyab187.
Objective tracking of asthma medication use and exposure in real-time and space has not been feasible previously. Exposure assessments have typically been tied to residential locations, which ignore exposure within patterns of daily activities.
We investigated the associations of exposure to multiple air pollutants, derived from nearest air quality monitors, with space-time asthma rescue inhaler use captured by digital sensors, in Jefferson County, Kentucky. A generalized linear mixed model, capable of accounting for repeated measures, over-dispersion and excessive zeros, was used in our analysis. A secondary analysis was done through the random forest machine learning technique.
The 1039 participants enrolled were 63.4% female, 77.3% adult (>18) and 46.8% White. Digital sensors monitored the time and location of over 286 980 asthma rescue medication uses and associated air pollution exposures over 193 697 patient-days, creating a rich spatiotemporal dataset of over 10 905 240 data elements. In the generalized linear mixed model, an interquartile range (IQR) increase in pollutant exposure was associated with a mean rescue medication use increase per person per day of 0.201 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.189-0.214], 0.153 (95% CI: 0.136-0.171), 0.131 (95% CI: 0.115-0.147) and 0.113 (95% CI: 0.097-0.129), for sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3), respectively. Similar effect sizes were identified with the random forest model. Time-lagged exposure effects of 0-3 days were observed.
Daily exposure to multiple pollutants was associated with increases in daily asthma rescue medication use for same day and lagged exposures up to 3 days. Associations were consistent when evaluated with the random forest modelling approach.
此前,在实时和空间维度上对哮喘药物使用及暴露情况进行客观追踪并不可行。暴露评估通常与居住地点相关联,这忽略了日常活动模式中的暴露情况。
我们在肯塔基州杰斐逊县,研究了来自最近空气质量监测站的多种空气污染物暴露,与数字传感器记录的时空哮喘急救吸入器使用情况之间的关联。我们的分析采用了一种广义线性混合模型,该模型能够处理重复测量、过度离散和过多零值的情况。通过随机森林机器学习技术进行了二次分析。
纳入的1039名参与者中,女性占63.4%,成年人(>18岁)占77.3%,白人占46.8%。数字传感器在超过193697个患者日中,监测了超过286980次哮喘急救药物使用的时间和地点以及相关的空气污染暴露情况,创建了一个包含超过10905240个数据元素的丰富时空数据集。在广义线性混合模型中,污染物暴露增加一个四分位数间距(IQR),分别与每人每天急救药物使用量平均增加0.201[95%置信区间(CI):0.189 - 0.214]、0.153(95%CI:0.136 - 0.171)、0.131(95%CI:0.115 - 0.147)和0.113(95%CI:0.097 - 0.129)相关,这些污染物分别为二氧化硫(SO2)、二氧化氮(NO2)、细颗粒物(PM2.5)和臭氧(O3)。随机森林模型也得出了类似的效应量。观察到了0 - 3天的时间滞后暴露效应。
每日接触多种污染物与当日及滞后3天内每日哮喘急救药物使用量增加有关。采用随机森林建模方法评估时,关联是一致的。