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1980 - 2020年期间北半球对流层顶持续上升。

Continuous rise of the tropopause in the Northern Hemisphere over 1980-2020.

作者信息

Meng Lingyun, Liu Jane, Tarasick David W, Randel William J, Steiner Andrea K, Wilhelmsen Hallgeir, Wang Lei, Haimberger Leopold

机构信息

School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.

International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Sci Adv. 2021 Nov 5;7(45):eabi8065. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abi8065.

Abstract

Tropopause height () is a sensitive diagnostic for anthropogenic climate change. Previous studies showed increases in over 1980–2000 but were inconsistent in projecting trends after 2000. While generally responds to temperature changes in the troposphere and stratosphere, the relative importance of these two contributions is uncertain. Here, we use radiosonde balloon observations in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) over 20°N to 80°N to reveal a continuous rise of over 1980–2020. Over 2001–2020, increases at 50 to 60 m/decade, which is comparable to the trend over 1980–2000. The GPS radio occultation measurements from satellites and homogenized radiosonde records are in good agreement with those results. The continuous rise of the tropopause in the NH after 2000 results primarily from tropospheric warming. A large trend in remains after major natural forcings for are removed, providing further observational evidence for anthropogenic climate change.

摘要

对流层顶高度()是人为气候变化的一个敏感诊断指标。先前的研究表明,1980 - 2000年期间对流层顶高度有所增加,但对2000年之后的趋势预测并不一致。虽然对流层顶高度通常对对流层和平流层的温度变化有响应,但这两种贡献的相对重要性尚不确定。在此,我们利用北半球(NH)北纬20°至80°的无线电探空气球观测数据,揭示了1980 - 2020年期间对流层顶高度的持续上升。在2001 - 2020年期间,对流层顶高度以每十年50至60米的速度增加,这与1980 - 2000年期间的趋势相当。卫星的GPS无线电掩星测量结果与均一化的无线电探空记录与这些结果高度一致。2000年之后北半球对流层顶的持续上升主要是由对流层变暖导致的。在去除对流层顶高度的主要自然强迫因素后,仍存在较大的趋势,这为人为气候变化提供了进一步的观测证据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3213/8570593/ef58a820fc86/sciadv.abi8065-f1.jpg

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