Université Paris-Dauphine-PSL, Paris, France; Bruegel, Brussels, Belgium; Esade Centre for Economic Policy, Madrid, Spain.
French National Centre for Scientific Research, Grenoble, France; Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Lancet Glob Health. 2022 Jan;10(1):e142-e147. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00494-0. Epub 2021 Nov 2.
There is increasing evidence that elimination strategies have resulted in better outcomes for public health, the economy, and civil liberties than have mitigation strategies throughout the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. With vaccines that offer high protection against severe forms of COVID-19, and increasing vaccination coverage, policy makers have had to reassess the trade-offs between different options. The desirability and feasibility of eliminating SARS-CoV-2 compared with other strategies should also be re-evaluated from the perspective of different fields, including epidemiology, public health, and economics. To end the pandemic as soon as possible-be it through elimination or reaching an acceptable endemic level-several key topics have emerged centring around coordination, both locally and internationally, and vaccine distribution. Without coordination it is difficult if not impossible to sustain elimination, which is particularly relevant in highly connected regions, such as Europe. Regarding vaccination, concerns remain with respect to equitable distribution, and the risk of the emergence of new variants of concern. Looking forward, it is crucial to overcome the dichotomy between elimination and mitigation, and to jointly define a long-term objective that can accommodate different political and societal realities.
越来越多的证据表明,在 COVID-19 大流行的第一年,消除策略在公共卫生、经济和公民自由方面的结果要好于缓解策略。随着疫苗对 COVID-19 严重形式提供高度保护,以及疫苗接种覆盖率的增加,政策制定者不得不重新评估不同选择之间的权衡。从流行病学、公共卫生和经济学等不同领域的角度来看,消除 SARS-CoV-2 与其他策略相比的可取性和可行性也应该重新评估。为了尽快结束大流行——无论是通过消除还是达到可接受的地方性水平——几个关键主题已经出现,主要集中在本地和国际协调以及疫苗分发方面。如果没有协调,消除就难以维持,这在像欧洲这样高度互联的地区尤为重要。关于疫苗接种,人们仍然关注公平分配问题,以及出现新的令人关注的变异的风险。展望未来,克服消除和缓解之间的二分法,共同定义一个可以适应不同政治和社会现实的长期目标至关重要。