Tanaka Chie, Tagami Takashi, Nakayama Fumihiko, Kudo Saori, Takehara Akiko, Fukuda Reo, Kaneko Junya, Ishiki Yoshito, Sato Shin, Shibata Ami, Kuno Masamune, Unemoto Kyoko, Hojo Masayuki, Mizoue Tetsuya, Asai Yusuke, Suzuki Setsuko, Ohmagari Norio
Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nippon Medical School Tama Nagayama Hospital, Tama-shi, Tokyo, 2068512, Japan.
Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nippon Medical School Musashikosugi Hospital, 1-396 Kosugimachi, Nakahara-ku, Kawasaki, Kanagawa, 211-8533, Japan.
Ann Intensive Care. 2021 Dec 11;11(1):171. doi: 10.1186/s13613-021-00959-6.
Only a few studies have reported the association between age and mortality in COVID-19 patients who require invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). We aimed to evaluate the effect of age on COVID-19-related mortality among patients undergoing IMV therapy.
This cohort study was conducted using the COVID-19 Registry Japan database, a nationwide multi-centre study of hospitalized patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19. Of all 33,808 cases registered between 1 January 2020 to 28 February 2021, we analysed 1555 patients who had undergone IMV. We evaluated mortality rates between age groups using multivariable regression analysis after adjusting for known potential components, such as within-hospital clustering, comorbidities, steroid use, medication for COVID-19, and vital signs on admission, using generalized estimation equation.
By age group, the mortality rates in the IMV group were 8.6%, 20.7%, 34.9%, 49.7% and 83.3% for patients in their 50s, 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that compared with those for patients aged < 60 years, the odds ratios (95% confidence interval) of death were 2.6 (1.6-4.1), 6.9 (4.2-11.3), 13.2 (7.2-24.1), 92.6 (16.7-515.0) for patients in their 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s, respectively.
In this cohort study, age had a great effect on mortality in COVID-19 patients undergoing IMV, after adjusting for variables independently associated with mortality. This study suggested that age was associated with higher mortality and that preventing progression to severe COVID-19 in elderly patients may be a great public health issue.
仅有少数研究报告了需要有创机械通气(IMV)的新冠病毒病(COVID-19)患者年龄与死亡率之间的关联。我们旨在评估年龄对接受IMV治疗的COVID-19患者相关死亡率的影响。
本队列研究使用了日本COVID-19注册数据库,这是一项针对实验室确诊的COVID-19住院患者的全国性多中心研究。在2020年1月1日至2021年2月28日期间登记的所有33808例病例中,我们分析了1555例接受IMV治疗的患者。我们使用广义估计方程,在对已知潜在因素(如院内聚集、合并症、类固醇使用、COVID-19用药以及入院时的生命体征)进行调整后,通过多变量回归分析评估各年龄组之间的死亡率。
按年龄组划分,50多岁、60多岁、70多岁、80多岁和90多岁的IMV组患者死亡率分别为8.6%、20.7%、34.9%、49.7%和83.3%。多变量分析显示,与年龄<60岁的患者相比,60多岁、70多岁、80多岁和90多岁患者的死亡比值比(95%置信区间)分别为2.6(1.6 - 4.1)、6.9(4.2 - 11.3)、13.2(7.2 - 24.1)、92.6(16.7 - 515.0)。
在本队列研究中,在对与死亡率独立相关的变量进行调整后,年龄对接受IMV治疗的COVID-19患者的死亡率有很大影响。本研究表明年龄与较高死亡率相关,并且预防老年患者进展为重症COVID-19可能是一个重大的公共卫生问题。