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基于中国激励与联动混合机制的政府与社会组织自然灾害应急合作行为研究。

Research on the Natural Hazard Emergency Cooperation Behavior between Governments and Social Organizations Based on the Hybrid Mechanism of Incentive and Linkage in China.

机构信息

School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China.

Department of Engineering Systems and Services, Delft University of Technology, BX-2628 Delft, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Dec 10;18(24):13064. doi: 10.3390/ijerph182413064.

Abstract

Social organizations have become an important component of the emergency management system by virtue of their heterogeneous resource advantages. It is of great significance to explore the interaction between the local government and social organizations and to clarify the key factors affecting the participation of social organizations in natural hazard emergency responses. With the aim of exploring the relationship between the local government and social organizations, based on evolutionary game theory, the emergency incentive game model and the emergency linkage game model of natural hazard emergency responses were constructed. The evolutionary trajectories of the emergency incentive game system and the emergency linkage game system were described by numerical simulation. Meanwhile, the influence mechanism of government decision parameters on the strategy selection of both game subjects was analyzed. The results show that both governmental incentive strategy and linkage strategy can significantly improve the enthusiasm of social organizations for participating in natural hazard emergency responses. Moreover, they could encourage social organizations to choose a positive participation strategy. Nevertheless, over-reliance on incentives reduces the probability of the local government choosing a positive emergency strategy. In addition, we found that, when both game subjects tend to choose a positive strategy, the strategy selection of the local government drives that of social organizations.

摘要

社会组织凭借其异质资源优势,已成为应急管理体系的重要组成部分。探讨地方政府与社会组织之间的相互作用,厘清影响社会组织参与自然灾害应急响应的关键因素,具有重要意义。本研究旨在探索地方政府与社会组织之间的关系,基于进化博弈理论,构建了自然灾害应急响应的应急激励博弈模型和应急联动博弈模型。通过数值模拟描述了应急激励博弈系统和应急联动博弈系统的演化轨迹,并分析了政府决策参数对博弈主体策略选择的影响机制。结果表明,政府的激励策略和联动策略都能显著提高社会组织参与自然灾害应急响应的积极性,促使社会组织选择积极的参与策略。然而,过度依赖激励措施会降低地方政府选择积极应急策略的概率。此外,我们发现,当两个博弈主体都倾向于选择积极策略时,地方政府的策略选择会带动社会组织的策略选择。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/32ee/8701307/3e810457e7bc/ijerph-18-13064-g001.jpg

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