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基于异质车队的多智能体模拟理解共享公共交通对城市交通和道路安全的影响:以卡萨布兰卡市为例

On understanding the impacts of shared public transportation on urban traffic and road safety using an agent-based simulation with heterogeneous fleets: a case study of Casablanca city.

作者信息

El Ouadi Jihane, Errousso Hanae, Malhene Nicolas, Benhadou Siham

机构信息

National and High School of Electricity and Mechanic, HASSAN II University, 8118 Casablanca, Morocco.

Research Foundation for Development and Innovation in Science and Engineering, 8118 Casablanca, Morocco.

出版信息

Qual Quant. 2022;56(6):3893-3932. doi: 10.1007/s11135-021-01282-9. Epub 2022 Jan 7.

Abstract

Simulation and computer modeling have a key role in understanding transportation systems. Focusing on the main system, real-time retrieval of outputs based on mutual interactions of the whole autonomous entities makes the agent-based simulation very promising. This paper deals with an agent-based simulation to investigate and evaluate the potential impacts of implementing Shared Public Transports (SPT) in urban areas. Such a system is intended to integrate the two flows of passengers and containerized freights in Public Transportation (PT) patterns towards more sustainable, efficient, and socially suitable mobility. The proposed model is coupled with a stochastic process in order to provide a range of real-world data of Casablanca city (Morocco) based on institutional surveys. In this respect, two urban transportation systems of freight are tested: (1) the conventional transportation system, (2) the SPT system with heterogeneous fleets. In an effort to sustain efficient and safe movements, this paper examines SPT performances according to a set of key evaluation metrics. Results show that PT stopping remains the most relevant factor when evaluating metrics of the number of waiting containers and waiting time of demand by rates of 82.440% and 62.580%, respectively. Such a waiting containers metric is significantly affected by the volume of demand to transport per time slot by a rate of 78.140%. Under SPT, traffic congestion is the main factor to consider in managing PT with a rate of 65.690% in order to reduce potential accidents. However, demand volume could increase the on-street illegal parking metric by 90.070%. More details are provided below.

摘要

模拟和计算机建模在理解交通系统方面发挥着关键作用。聚焦于主要系统,基于整个自主实体的相互作用实时检索输出,使得基于智能体的模拟非常有前景。本文探讨了一种基于智能体的模拟,以研究和评估在城市地区实施共享公共交通(SPT)的潜在影响。这样一个系统旨在将公共交通(PT)模式中的乘客流和集装箱货运流整合起来,以实现更可持续、高效且符合社会需求的出行。所提出的模型与一个随机过程相结合,以便根据机构调查提供摩洛哥卡萨布兰卡市的一系列真实世界数据。在这方面,测试了两种城市货运交通系统:(1)传统交通系统,(2)具有异构车队的SPT系统。为了维持高效和安全的运行,本文根据一组关键评估指标来检验SPT的性能。结果表明,在评估等待集装箱数量和需求等待时间指标时,PT停靠仍然是最相关的因素,其占比分别为82.440%和62.580%。这样一个等待集装箱指标受每个时隙运输需求量的显著影响,影响率为78.140%。在SPT模式下,交通拥堵是管理PT时要考虑的主要因素,占比为65.690%,以减少潜在事故。然而,需求量可能会使路边非法停车指标增加90.070%。以下将提供更多细节。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02f6/8736298/676e0d6551a9/11135_2021_1282_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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