Staffini Alessio
Department of Economics and Finance, Catholic University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Business Promotion Division, ALBERT Inc., Tokyo, Japan.
Front Artif Intell. 2022 Feb 4;5:837596. doi: 10.3389/frai.2022.837596. eCollection 2022.
Stock market prices are known to be very volatile and noisy, and their accurate forecasting is a challenging problem. Traditionally, both linear and non-linear methods (such as ARIMA and LSTM) have been proposed and successfully applied to stock market prediction, but there is room to develop models that further reduce the forecast error. In this paper, we introduce a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (DCGAN) architecture to deal with the problem of forecasting the closing price of stocks. To test the empirical performance of our proposed model we use the FTSE MIB (Financial Times Stock Exchange Milano Indice di Borsa), the benchmark stock market index for the Italian national stock exchange. By conducting both single-step and multi-step forecasting, we observe that our proposed model performs better than standard widely used tools, suggesting that Deep Learning (and in particular GANs) is a promising field for financial time series forecasting.
众所周知,股票市场价格波动极大且噪声较多,对其进行准确预测是一个具有挑战性的问题。传统上,线性和非线性方法(如自回归积分滑动平均模型和长短期记忆网络)都已被提出并成功应用于股票市场预测,但仍有进一步开发可进一步降低预测误差的模型的空间。在本文中,我们引入了一种深度卷积生成对抗网络(DCGAN)架构来处理股票收盘价预测问题。为了测试我们提出的模型的实证性能,我们使用了富时MIB指数(意大利国家证券交易所的基准股票市场指数)。通过进行单步和多步预测,我们观察到我们提出的模型比广泛使用的标准工具表现更好,这表明深度学习(尤其是生成对抗网络)在金融时间序列预测中是一个很有前景的领域。